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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Waalwijk
S T T S T
0–5
Full-time
Twente
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 32/28 matches
Win Ø 46%
34%
57%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
66%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
63%
29%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%
4 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 12
1 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 8. · Twente 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 32 24 7 1 +50 79
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 22 5 5 +48 71
3 Ajax 32 19 9 4 +48 66
4 AZ Alkmaar 32 19 7 6 +31 64
5 Twente 28 16 7 5 +33 55
6 Sparta Rotterdam 28 15 6 7 +20 51
7 Utrecht 30 12 9 9 +1 45
8 Waalwijk 32 11 8 13 -5 41
9 Nijmegen 32 8 14 10 +0 38
10 Heerenveen 30 10 8 12 -9 38
11 Go Ahead Eagles 32 9 10 13 -11 37
12 For Sittard 32 10 5 17 -20 35
13 Vitesse 32 8 10 14 -12 34
14 Volendam 32 9 6 17 -27 33
15 Excelsior 32 8 5 19 -41 29
16 FC Emmen 32 6 10 16 -29 28
17 Groningen 32 4 6 22 -33 18
18 Cambuur 32 4 4 24 -44 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Twente
10′
G. Smal 0–1
M. Ugalde
Jurien Gaari 🟨
30′
34′
M. Ugalde 0–2
M. Sadílek
Half-time 0–2
Julen Lobete 🔁
↦ Z. Bakkali
46′
M. Seuntjens 🔁
↦ F. Jozefzoon
46′
Michiel Kramer 🟨
49′
50′
R. Zerrouki 0–3
S. Bakari 🔁
↦ J. Lelieveld
55′
58′
🔁 S. Steijn
↦ M. Vlap
60′
🟨 Ramiz Zerrouki
Yassin Oukili 🟨
61′
66′
🔁 W. Brama
↦ M. Hilgers
H. Mulder 🔁
↦ P. Clement
71′
74′
M. Sadílek 0–4
G. Smal
77′
🔁 R. van Wolfswinkel
↦ V. Misidjan
78′
🔁 M. Kjølø
↦ M. Sadílek
78′
🔁 D. Rots
↦ V. Černý
K. Felida 🔁
↦ M. Kramer
84′
86′
Julio Pleguezuelo 0–5
S. Steijn
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
5 T. Lutonda D
33 Y. Oukili M
6 V. Anita M
10 F. Jozefzoon M
14 P. Clement M
19 Z. Bakkali M
29 M. Kramer F
Bench (12)
7 Julen Lobete
20 M. Seuntjens
22 S. Bakari
12 H. Mulder
35 K. Felida
8 P. Vroegh
11 I. Bel Hassani
13 M. Spenkelink
17 R. Kuijpers
15 L. Nieuwpoort
24 D. Van den Buijs
21 Joel Pereira

Coach: J. Oosting

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
2 M. Hilgers D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
5 G. Smal D
8 R. Zerrouki M
18 M. Vlap M
23 M. Sadílek M
7 V. Černý F
27 M. Ugalde F
10 V. Misidjan F
Bench (10)
14 S. Steijn
6 W. Brama
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
21 M. Kjølø
11 D. Rots
12 A. Sampsted
17 A. Salah-Eddine
22 P. Tytoń
16 I. El Maach
26 D. Cleonise

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,86
U
4,19
B ✓
1,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.