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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Anderlecht
S T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Westerlo
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,88 xG 0,97
52% Possession 48%
24 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 3 2 1 0 +6 +5.5 7
2 Cercle Brugge 2 2 0 0 +3 +2.2 6
3 St. Gilloise 3 2 0 1 +1 +2.2 6
4 RWD Molenbeek 3 2 0 1 -2 -1.5 6
5 Antwerp 2 1 1 0 +6 -0.0 4
6 Mechelen 3 1 1 1 +3 -1.0 4
7 Eupen 3 1 1 1 -4 -4.7 4
8 Genk 2 1 0 1 +3 +4.1 3
9 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.7 3
10 Charleroi 3 0 2 1 -2 -1.7 2
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 0 2 2 -5 +0.0 2
12 Westerlo 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.0 1
13 Standard 3 0 1 2 -2 -4.0 1
14 Kortrijk 3 0 0 3 -8 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Westerlo
1–0 K. Dolberg
T. Leoni
1′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Jordanov
↦ R. Tagir
46′
🔁 Y. Matsuo
↦ D. Mebude
Amadou Diawara 🟨
47′
52′
🟨 Mathias Fixelles
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ B. Raman
61′
67′
🔁 J. Alcócer
↦ M. Frigan
67′
🔁 N. Chadli
↦ M. Fixelles
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ A. Flips
71′
2–0 J. Vertonghen
T. Leoni
72′
74′
🟨 Nicolas Madsen
81′
E. Jordanov 2–1
Y. Matsuo
L. Vázquez 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
83′
M. Kana 🔁
↦ M. Rits
83′
87′
🟨 Edisson Jordanov
87′
🔁 F. Gouré
↦ N. Madsen
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
1 M. Dupé G
54 K. Sardella D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
23 M. Rits M
21 A. Diawara M
17 T. Leoni M
8 A. Flips F
12 K. Dolberg F
9 B. Raman F
Bench (7)
7 F. Amuzu
29 M. Stroeykens
20 L. Vázquez
55 M. Kana
26 C. Coosemans
15 L. Augustinsson
22 L. Patris

Coach: B. Riemer

Westerlo

4-4-2
20 N. Gillekens G
22 B. Reynolds D
33 R. Neustädter D
2 P. Perdichizzi D
24 R. Tagir D
13 D. Mebude M
8 N. Madsen M
4 M. Fixelles M
39 T. Van den Keybus M
9 M. Frigan F
76 L. Stassin F
Bench (7)
32 E. Jordanov
79 Y. Matsuo
77 J. Alcócer
89 N. Chadli
29 F. Gouré
30 K. Van Langendonck
11 M. Gümüşkaya

Coach: J. De Roeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,69
B
3,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.