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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Slask Wroclaw
S T U T T
3–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,30 xG 1,82
26% Possession 74%
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 18. · Lech Poznan 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zaglebie 5 3 1 1 +2 +0.2 10
2 Jagiellonia 4 3 0 1 +2 +0.6 9
3 Radomiak Radom 5 3 0 2 +2 +0.6 9
4 Legia 3 2 1 0 +6 7
5 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +4 +3.2 7
6 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +3 -3.1 7
7 Cracovia 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 Widzew Lodz 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.5 7
9 Pogon Szczecin 4 2 0 2 -1 +2.5 6
10 LKS Lodz 5 2 0 3 -4 6
11 Warta Poznan 5 1 2 2 +0 +2.1 5
12 Piast Gliwice 4 1 2 1 +0 +4.2 5
13 Stal Mielec 5 1 2 2 -1 -1.8 5
14 Gornik Zabrze 5 1 2 2 -3 -3.5 5
15 Ruch Chorzow 5 1 1 3 -3 -1.7 4
16 Puszcza 5 1 1 3 -4 -2.7 4
17 Korona Kielce 3 0 1 2 -2 +0.7 1
18 Slask Wroclaw 3 0 1 2 -3 -0.7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Lech Poznan
11′
🟨 Alan Czerwiński
Peter Pokorný 🟨
14′
16′
🟨 Filip Szymczak
1–0 Erik Expósito
P. Janasik
37′
Half-time 1–0
Martin Konczkowski 🟨
46′
A. Paluszek 🔁
↦ P. Pokorný
46′
46′
🔁 F. Dagerstål
↦ M. Blažič
Mateusz Żukowski 🟨
50′
51′
K. Velde 1–1
D. Jastrzembski 🔁
↦ P. Olsen
62′
M. Rzuchowski 🔁
↦ Nahuel Leiva
62′
63′
🔁 M. Ishak
↦ F. Szymczak
63′
🔁 D. Hotić
↦ A. Ba Loua
2–1 Erik Expósito
D. Jastrzembski
73′
75′
🟨 Filip Dagerstål
76′
🔁 J. Karlström
↦ N. Kvekveskiri
76′
🔁 A. Sobiech
↦ K. Velde
P. Szwedzik 🔁
↦ M. Żukowski
87′
E. Matsenko 🔁
↦ P. Janasik
89′
3–1 P. Szwedzik
Erik Expósito
92′
97′
🟨 Jesper Karlström
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

4-1-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
27 M. Konczkowski D
5 A. Petkov D
4 Ł. Bejger D
19 P. Janasik D
16 P. Pokorný M
10 Nahuel Leiva M
17 P. Schwarz M
8 P. Olsen M
22 M. Żukowski M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (9)
2 A. Paluszek
11 D. Jastrzembski
28 M. Rzuchowski
21 P. Szwedzik
33 E. Matsenko
25 M. Żyłła
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson
18 K. Borys
35 K. Trelowski

Coach: J. Magiera

Lech Poznan

4-3-3
41 B. Mrozek G
44 A. Czerwiński D
23 M. Blažič D
16 A. Milić D
5 E. Andersson D
10 F. Marchwiński M
30 N. Kvekveskiri M
7 Afonso Sousa M
50 A. Ba Loua F
17 F. Szymczak F
11 K. Velde F
Bench (8)
25 F. Dagerstål
9 M. Ishak
21 D. Hotić
6 J. Karlström
90 A. Sobiech
15 M. Gurgul
35 F. Bednarek
54 F. Wilak

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.