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Ligue 1

Referee: P Gaillouste

Lille

U S S U U

2–0

Full-time

Nantes

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,37 xG 1,08

65% Possession 35%

18 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 11. · Nantes 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.1	4
2	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.7	4
3	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
4	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
6	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
7	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
8	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.0	2
9	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
10	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
12	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
13	Metz	2	0	1	1	-4	-5.4	1
14	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
15	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
16	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
18	Lyon	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
2	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
5	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
7	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
8	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
10	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
12	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
5	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
6	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
7	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
8	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
9	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
10	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
11	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
12	Metz	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.