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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

AZ Alkmaar

U T S T S

1–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 64%

61%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

61%

70%

Both score Ø 60%

61%

58%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

2,0

2,6

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

9 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	33	25	7	1	+52	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	22	6	5	+48	72
3	Ajax	33	20	9	4	+50	69
4	AZ Alkmaar	33	20	7	6	+34	67
5	Twente	29	17	7	5	+38	58
6	Sparta Rotterdam	29	16	6	7	+23	54
7	Utrecht	31	12	9	10	-1	45
8	Waalwijk	33	11	8	14	-10	41
9	Go Ahead Eagles	33	10	10	13	-8	40
10	Heerenveen	31	10	9	12	-9	39
11	Nijmegen	33	8	14	11	-3	38
12	Vitesse	33	9	10	14	-6	37
13	For Sittard	33	10	5	18	-23	35
14	Volendam	33	9	6	18	-30	33
15	Excelsior	33	9	5	19	-38	32
16	FC Emmen	33	6	10	17	-31	28
17	Groningen	33	4	6	23	-39	18
18	Cambuur	33	4	4	25	-47	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	14	2	1	+40	44
2	Feyenoord	16	12	4	0	+28	40
3	Twente	14	12	2	0	+33	38
4	Ajax	17	10	5	2	+33	35
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	5	2	+17	32
6	Sparta Rotterdam	15	10	1	4	+17	31
7	Waalwijk	17	9	3	5	+8	30
8	Go Ahead Eagles	17	7	6	4	+5	27
9	Excelsior	17	8	2	7	-4	26
10	Volendam	16	8	1	7	-4	25
11	Utrecht	15	6	5	4	+2	23
12	Vitesse	17	5	6	6	-1	21
13	Nijmegen	17	3	9	5	+0	18
14	For Sittard	16	5	3	8	-7	18
15	FC Emmen	17	3	9	5	-7	18
16	Heerenveen	15	4	3	8	-8	15
17	Groningen	16	3	3	10	-9	12
18	Cambuur	16	2	0	14	-23	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	13	3	1	+24	42
2	AZ Alkmaar	17	11	2	4	+17	35
3	Ajax	16	10	4	2	+17	34
4	PSV Eindhoven	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Heerenveen	16	6	6	4	-1	24
6	Sparta Rotterdam	14	6	5	3	+6	23
7	Utrecht	16	6	4	6	-3	22
8	Twente	15	5	5	5	+5	20
9	Nijmegen	16	5	5	6	-3	20
10	For Sittard	17	5	2	10	-16	17
11	Vitesse	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	16	3	4	9	-13	13
13	Waalwijk	16	2	5	9	-18	11
14	FC Emmen	16	3	1	12	-24	10
15	Cambuur	17	2	4	11	-24	10
16	Volendam	17	1	5	11	-26	8
17	Groningen	17	1	3	13	-30	6
18	Excelsior	16	1	3	12	-34	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.