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Conference League
Referee: S Karabayev
FC Santa Coloma
U S T S
0–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Santa Coloma AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
4 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Santa Coloma AZ Alkmaar
David Crespo 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Moisés San Nicolás 🔁
↦ Gerard Gómez
58′
Guillem Jiménez 🔁
↦ Daniel Toribio
65′
65′
🔁 K. Goudmijn
↦ S. Mijnans
68′
🔁 E. Poku
↦ M. Lahdo
68′
🔁 D. Mihailović
↦ D. de Wit
Cristian Novoa 🟨
71′
74′
⚽ D. Mihailović 0–1
76′
🔁 R. van Bommel
↦ J. Karlsson
Marc Nierga 🔁
↦ Iván Garrido
84′
86′
🟨 David Möller Wolfe
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

FC Santa Coloma

4-3-3
1 Josep Gómes G
26 A. Markovych D
3 Gerard Gómez D
15 Sergio Rodríguez D
22 David Crespo D
6 Daniel Toribio M
18 Miguel López M
30 Eloy Gila M
19 Iván Garrido F
24 C. Novoa F
32 Mario Mourelo F
Bench (6)
20 Moisés San Nicolás
17 Guillem Jiménez
9 Marc Nierga
13 Adrià Collet
11 David Virgili
2 Robert Ramos

Coach: D. Cheryshev

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
25 R. Bazoer D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
16 S. Mijnans M
8 J. Clasie M
23 M. Lahdo M
10 D. de Wit M
11 J. Karlsson M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (10)
28 K. Goudmijn
21 E. Poku
14 D. Mihailović
15 R. van Bommel
54 D. Deen
30 D. Kasius
5 Alexandre Penetra
12 H. Verhulst
22 M. Dekker
7 J. Odgaard

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.