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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
PSV Eindhoven
S S T U S
3–1
Full-time
Twente
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 22/20 matches
Win Ø 57%
59%
55%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
68%
40%
Both score Ø 43%
55%
30%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,6
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 4. · Twente 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 23 15 7 1 +31 52
2 Ajax 23 14 7 2 +42 49
3 AZ Alkmaar 23 14 5 4 +21 47
4 PSV Eindhoven 22 13 4 5 +30 43
5 Twente 20 11 6 3 +21 39
6 Sparta Rotterdam 20 10 6 4 +12 36
7 Waalwijk 23 8 8 7 +3 32
8 Utrecht 21 8 7 6 -2 31
9 Nijmegen 23 6 12 5 +8 30
10 Heerenveen 22 7 6 9 -6 27
11 Go Ahead Eagles 23 6 8 9 -6 26
12 For Sittard 23 7 5 11 -11 26
13 Vitesse 23 5 8 10 -13 23
14 Volendam 23 5 5 13 -27 20
15 Excelsior 23 6 2 15 -34 20
16 FC Emmen 23 3 9 11 -20 18
17 Groningen 23 4 5 14 -23 17
18 Cambuur 23 3 4 16 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Twente
1–0 Fábio Silva
J. Bakayoko
9′
Half-time 1–1
47′
V. Misidjan 1–1
R. Zerrouki
55′
🟨 Ramiz Zerrouki
2–1 L. de Jong
J. Bakayoko
57′
P. van Aanholt 🔁
↦ J. Bakayoko
63′
63′
🔁 A. Sampsted
↦ V. Černý
63′
🔁 D. Cleonise
↦ J. Brenet
3–1 X. Simons
I. Sangaré
74′
75′
🔁 M. Ugalde
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
75′
🔁 S. Steijn
↦ A. Salah-Eddine
É. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ Fábio Silva
77′
I. Saibari 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
86′
G. Til 🔁
↦ X. Simons
86′
86′
🔁 Julio Pleguezuelo
↦ R. Pröpper
Ibrahim Sangaré 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
22 J. Branthwaite D
17 Mauro Júnior D
7 X. Simons M
23 J. Veerman M
6 I. Sangaré M
27 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
10 Fábio Silva F
Bench (10)
30 P. van Aanholt
15 É. Gutiérrez
28 I. Saibari
20 G. Til
18 O. Boscagli
16 J. Drommel
3 J. Teze
37 R. Ledezma
4 A. Obispo
24 B. Waterman

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
18 M. Vlap M
8 R. Zerrouki M
17 A. Salah-Eddine M
7 V. Černý F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
10 V. Misidjan F
Bench (12)
12 A. Sampsted
26 D. Cleonise
27 M. Ugalde
14 S. Steijn
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
39 M. Rots
41 G. Besselink
38 M. Bruns
42 S. Sybrandy
15 I. Yegoian
16 I. El Maach
30 S. Karssies

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,63
U
4,20
B
4,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,21
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.