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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Waalwijk
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 48%
75%
21%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
79%
54%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
68%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Waalwijk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 29 23 3 3 +70 72
2 PSV Eindhoven 28 21 2 5 +37 65
3 Feyenoord 28 18 4 6 +36 58
4 Twente 29 17 7 5 +13 58
5 AZ Alkmaar 25 15 3 7 +18 48
6 Utrecht 27 11 8 8 +9 41
7 Groningen 29 9 9 11 -6 36
8 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 6 13 -8 36
9 Vitesse 23 11 3 9 -8 36
10 Nijmegen 29 9 8 12 -11 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 34
12 Cambuur 28 10 3 15 -16 33
13 Heracles 28 8 6 14 -8 30
14 Waalwijk 28 6 10 12 -13 28
15 Willem II 29 6 5 18 -29 23
16 For Sittard 28 6 5 17 -34 23
17 Sparta Rotterdam 27 4 10 13 -19 22
18 Zwolle 28 5 5 18 -23 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Waalwijk
1–0 J. Veerman
38′
André Ramalho 🟨
44′
45′
🟨 Michiel Kramer
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Jurien Gaari
61′
🔁 Y. Oukili
↦ J. Gaari
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ M. van Ginkel
66′
N. Madueke 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
66′
I. Sangaré 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
66′
2–0 J. Teze
Carlos Vinícius
69′
70′
🔁 R. van der Venne
↦ A. Azhil
Carlos Vinícius 🟨
72′
Olivier Boscagli 🟨
75′
F. Oppegård 🔁
↦ O. Boscagli
77′
79′
🔁 L. Wouters
↦ V. Anita
79′
🔁 L. Daneels
↦ A. Büttner
79′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ J. Odgaard
E. Zahavi 🔁
↦ Bruma
87′
93′
🟨 Shawn Adewoye
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
38 Y. Mvogo G
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
3 J. Teze D
8 M. van Ginkel M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
17 Mauro Júnior D
23 J. Veerman M
19 Bruma M
9 Carlos Vinícius F
32 Y. Vertessen M
Bench (10)
11 C. Gakpo
10 N. Madueke
6 I. Sangaré
35 F. Oppegård
7 E. Zahavi
37 R. Ledezma
13 V. Müller
27 M. Götze
20 M. Romero
16 J. Drommel

Coach: R. Schmidt

Waalwijk

5-3-2
1 E. Vaessen G
28 A. Büttner D
2 J. Gaari D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
4 S. Adewoye D
6 V. Anita M
22 S. Bakari M
8 A. Azhil M
29 M. Kramer F
7 J. Odgaard F
Bench (12)
33 Y. Oukili
10 R. van der Venne
34 L. Wouters
20 L. Daneels
9 F. Stokkers
11 I. Bel Hassani
21 Joel Pereira
14 A. El Bouchataoui
17 R. Kuijpers
5 T. Lutonda
15 L. Nieuwpoort
31 I. El Maach

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
8,82
B
19,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,32
U2,5 ✓
3,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.