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Europa League
Referee: R Petrescu
Sevilla
S T S T S
3–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,83 xG 0,92
54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sevilla PSV Eindhoven
Fernando 🔁
↦ L. Badé
16′
Half-time 0–0
L. Ocampos 🔁
↦ Bryan Gil
46′
1–0 Y. En-Nesyri ⚽
Jesús Navas
47′
2–0 L. Ocampos ⚽
Óliver Torres
50′
3–0 N. Gudelj ⚽
L. Ocampos
55′
Nemanja Gudelj 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 T. Hazard
↦ G. Til
62′
🔁 Fábio Silva
↦ L. de Jong
Suso 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
63′
G. Montiel 🔁
↦ M. Acuña
70′
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
70′
75′
🔁 Mauro Júnior
↦ P. van Aanholt
Erik Lamela 🟨
89′
91′
🔁 P. Mwene
↦ I. Saibari
91′
🔁 A. Obispo
↦ André Ramalho
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

3-4-2-1
13 Y. Bounou G
14 T. Nianzou D
44 L. Badé D
6 N. Gudelj D
16 Jesús Navas M
8 Joan Jordán M
10 I. Rakitić M
19 M. Acuña M
21 Óliver Torres F
25 Bryan Gil F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (9)
20 Fernando
55 L. Ocampos
7 Suso
2 G. Montiel
17 E. Lamela
3 Alex Telles
1 M. Dmitrović
12 Rafa Mir
31 Alberto Flores

Coach: J. Sampaoli

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
22 J. Branthwaite D
30 P. van Aanholt D
20 G. Til M
6 I. Sangaré M
23 J. Veerman M
28 I. Saibari F
9 L. de Jong F
7 X. Simons F
Bench (12)
11 T. Hazard
10 Fábio Silva
17 Mauro Júnior
29 P. Mwene
4 A. Obispo
16 J. Drommel
27 J. Bakayoko
24 B. Waterman
18 O. Boscagli
56 M. Nassoh
59 M. Tielemans
36 E. van de Blaak

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.