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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

Excelsior

T T S T T

0–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

53%

63%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

63%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

2,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 14. · Waalwijk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	19	12	6	1	+27	42
2	AZ Alkmaar	20	12	5	3	+16	41
3	PSV Eindhoven	19	12	2	5	+24	38
4	Ajax	19	10	7	2	+30	37
5	Twente	17	10	5	2	+20	35
6	Sparta Rotterdam	18	9	6	3	+15	33
7	Utrecht	19	8	6	5	+0	30
8	Waalwijk	19	6	7	6	+0	25
9	Heerenveen	19	6	6	7	-3	24
10	Nijmegen	19	4	11	4	+3	23
11	For Sittard	20	6	5	9	-8	23
12	Vitesse	20	4	8	8	-12	20
13	Go Ahead Eagles	19	4	7	8	-8	19
14	Excelsior	19	6	1	12	-23	19
15	Volendam	20	4	5	11	-23	17
16	FC Emmen	20	3	7	10	-19	16
17	Cambuur	19	3	3	13	-19	12
18	Groningen	19	3	3	13	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	10	8	2	0	+21	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	1	1	+21	25
3	Feyenoord	9	6	3	0	+16	21
4	Sparta Rotterdam	9	6	1	2	+10	19
5	Waalwijk	10	5	3	2	+9	18
6	Ajax	9	4	4	1	+19	16
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	4	1	+4	16
8	Utrecht	9	4	3	2	+1	15
9	Excelsior	9	5	0	4	-3	15
10	Nijmegen	10	2	7	1	+6	13
11	FC Emmen	10	2	7	1	-1	13
12	For Sittard	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Heerenveen	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Go Ahead Eagles	10	2	4	4	-4	10
15	Volendam	10	3	1	6	-11	10
16	Groningen	9	2	1	6	-7	7
17	Vitesse	9	1	4	4	-11	7
18	Cambuur	10	1	0	9	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	1	2	+12	25
2	Ajax	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Feyenoord	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	-1	15
5	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	5	1	+5	14
6	PSV Eindhoven	9	4	1	4	+3	13
7	Vitesse	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Heerenveen	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	For Sittard	9	3	2	4	-5	11
10	Nijmegen	9	2	4	3	-3	10
11	Twente	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Cambuur	9	2	3	4	-6	9
14	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-9	7
15	Volendam	10	1	4	5	-12	7
16	Groningen	10	1	2	7	-13	5
17	Excelsior	10	1	1	8	-20	4
18	FC Emmen	10	1	0	9	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.