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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

PSV Eindhoven

S S U T S

2–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,8

2,5

Scored

3,0

0,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 42%

65%

18%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

76%

41%

Both score Ø 62%

71%

53%

Average goals

3,5

2,6

Scored

2,4

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Waalwijk 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	13	2	2	+45	41
2	Vitesse	18	13	2	3	+19	41
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	4	2	+22	37
4	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	7	1	+16	34
5	Feyenoord	15	10	3	2	+19	33
6	Groningen	17	9	3	5	+3	30
7	Twente	17	8	4	5	+9	28
8	Heerenveen	17	5	7	5	-1	22
9	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	2	8	-2	20
10	Zwolle	18	4	8	6	-7	20
11	Utrecht	15	4	7	4	-2	19
12	For Sittard	17	5	4	8	-9	19
13	Heracles	17	5	3	9	-9	18
14	VVV Venlo	17	4	4	9	-18	16
15	Waalwijk	17	3	5	9	-14	14
16	Den Haag	18	2	5	11	-25	11
17	Willem II	18	2	4	12	-18	10
18	FC Emmen	18	0	6	12	-28	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+20	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Groningen	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
7	Utrecht	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Heracles	8	3	1	4	+4	10
11	Zwolle	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	VVV Venlo	9	2	3	4	-16	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	2	5	-2	8
14	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-6	7
16	Willem II	9	2	1	6	-8	7
17	Den Haag	9	0	3	6	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+25	19
2	Feyenoord	9	6	1	2	+11	19
3	Twente	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	5	0	+8	17
5	PSV Eindhoven	9	4	4	1	+9	16
6	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	+6	16
7	Groningen	8	5	0	3	+1	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	0	3	+0	12
9	Heerenveen	9	2	5	2	-2	11
10	For Sittard	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Zwolle	9	2	4	3	-5	10
12	Den Haag	9	2	2	5	-13	8
13	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-13	8
14	VVV Venlo	8	2	1	5	-2	7
15	Waalwijk	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Willem II	9	0	3	6	-10	3
18	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.