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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Waalwijk
U S S U T
3–1
Full-time
For Sittard
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
62%
52%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
57%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 8. · For Sittard 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 21 13 7 1 +28 46
2 AZ Alkmaar 21 13 5 3 +21 44
3 Ajax 21 12 7 2 +37 43
4 PSV Eindhoven 21 13 3 5 +30 42
5 Twente 19 11 6 2 +23 39
6 Sparta Rotterdam 19 10 6 3 +16 36
7 Utrecht 20 8 6 6 -2 30
8 Waalwijk 21 6 8 7 -2 26
9 For Sittard 21 7 5 9 -7 26
10 Nijmegen 21 4 12 5 +2 24
11 Heerenveen 20 6 6 8 -4 24
12 Vitesse 21 5 8 8 -10 23
13 Go Ahead Eagles 21 5 7 9 -8 22
14 Excelsior 21 6 2 13 -28 20
15 Volendam 21 4 5 12 -26 17
16 FC Emmen 21 3 7 11 -20 16
17 Cambuur 21 3 4 14 -24 13
18 Groningen 21 3 4 14 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk For Sittard
Half-time 0–0
F. Jozefzoon 🔁
↦ D. Van den Buijs
46′
49′
B. Yılmaz 0–1
Iñigo Córdoba
59′
🟨 Úmaro Embaló
Julen Lobete 🔁
↦ T. Lutonda
67′
71′
🟨 Iñigo Cordoba
1–1 M. Kramer
F. Jozefzoon
76′
78′
🔁 T. Noslin
↦ Úmaro Embaló
79′
🔁 S. Radić
↦ D. Siovas
Y. Oukili 🔁
↦ V. Anita
82′
S. Bakari 🔁
↦ I. Bel Hassani
82′
2–1 Julen Lobete
86′
87′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ Deroy Duarte
88′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
L. Nieuwpoort 🔁
↦ M. Kramer
89′
3–1 F. Jozefzoon
90′
91′
🟨 Burak Yılmaz
Lars Nieuwpoort 🟨
98′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Waalwijk

3-5-2
1 E. Vaessen G
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
24 D. Van den Buijs D
2 J. Lelieveld M
11 I. Bel Hassani M
6 V. Anita M
14 P. Clement M
5 T. Lutonda M
29 M. Kramer F
20 M. Seuntjens F
Bench (12)
10 F. Jozefzoon
7 Julen Lobete
33 Y. Oukili
22 S. Bakari
15 L. Nieuwpoort
19 Z. Bakkali
26 S. Augustijns
35 K. Felida
13 M. Spenkelink
34 L. Wouters
8 P. Vroegh
21 Joel Pereira

Coach: J. Oosting

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pandur G
21 D. Erdoğan D
14 Rodrigo Guth D
33 D. Siovas D
61 R. Vita D
8 K. Bistrović M
6 Deroy Duarte M
7 Iñigo Córdoba M
15 O. Özyakup M
85 Úmaro Embaló M
17 B. Yılmaz F
Bench (12)
77 T. Noslin
55 S. Radić
11 P. Gladon
29 T. Buitink
74 G. Cangiano
22 T. Hendriks
1 Y. van Osch
2 Ximo Navarro
4 R. Janssen
34 T. Taşçı
19 A. Ferati
18 M. van Beijnen

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,48
B
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.