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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Waalwijk
U T U S T
1–4
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 47%
19%
75%
Points per game
0,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
56%
81%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
69%
Average goals
2,6
3,9
Scored
1,1
2,5
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
7 Shots 25
4 Shots on target 12
1 Blocked shots 7
9 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 6
4 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 15. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 17 12 3 2 +47 39
2 PSV Eindhoven 16 12 1 3 +17 37
3 Feyenoord 17 11 3 3 +22 36
4 Twente 17 9 4 4 +6 31
5 Utrecht 16 8 4 4 +11 28
6 Cambuur 17 9 0 8 -7 27
7 Vitesse 15 8 2 5 -2 26
8 AZ Alkmaar 15 8 1 6 +9 25
9 Heerenveen 16 7 4 5 +0 25
10 Nijmegen 17 6 4 7 -3 22
11 Go Ahead Eagles 17 6 3 8 -8 21
12 Groningen 17 4 7 6 -6 19
13 Willem II 17 5 3 9 -17 18
14 Heracles 17 5 2 10 -5 17
15 Waalwijk 16 3 6 7 -8 15
16 For Sittard 17 3 4 10 -22 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 6 9 -12 12
18 Zwolle 17 1 3 13 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk PSV Eindhoven
27′
🔁 Carlos Vinícius
↦ R. Dōan
28′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ Bruma
34′
Y. Vertessen 0–1
C. Gakpo
43′
ℹ️ Mario Götze
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–1
T. Lutonda 🔁
↦ I. Bel Hassani
46′
Melle Meulensteen 🟨
51′
52′
C. Gakpo 0–2
60′
P. Mwene 0–3
Y. Vertessen
63′
🔁 P. Max
↦ Mauro Júnior
63′
🔁 J. Teze
↦ P. Mwene
72′
Y. Vertessen 0–4
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ F. Stokkers
73′
Y. Oukili 🔁
↦ A. Azhil
73′
1–4 J. Odgaard
A. Büttner
79′
L. Daneels 🔁
↦ A. Büttner
80′
83′
🔁 M. van Ginkel
↦ C. Gakpo
84′
🔁 A. Obispo
↦ O. Boscagli
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Waalwijk

5-4-1
1 E. Vaessen G
28 A. Büttner D
24 D. Van den Buijs D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
6 V. Anita M
11 I. Bel Hassani M
22 S. Bakari D
8 A. Azhil M
9 F. Stokkers F
7 J. Odgaard M
Bench (9)
5 T. Lutonda
29 M. Kramer
33 Y. Oukili
20 L. Daneels
12 H. Mulder
13 J. Teunckens
2 J. Gaari
34 L. Wouters
31 I. El Maach

Coach: J. Oosting

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
27 M. Götze M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 I. Sangaré M
19 Bruma F
25 R. Dōan F
11 C. Gakpo F
Bench (10)
9 Carlos Vinícius
32 Y. Vertessen
31 P. Max
3 J. Teze
8 M. van Ginkel
4 A. Obispo
20 M. Romero
21 M. Delanghe
37 R. Ledezma
38 Y. Mvogo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,85
U
6,54
B ✓
1,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.