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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Zwolle
T S T T T
0–2
Full-time
Ajax
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
0,5
3,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,8
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,3
4,0
Scored
0,0
3,7
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+3,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 17. · Ajax 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +10 7
3 Utrecht 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Willem II 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 -2 6
8 For Sittard 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Waalwijk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Twente 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Cambuur 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Vitesse 3 1 0 2 -7 3
15 Heracles 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Ajax
26′
🟨 Antony
29′
S. Haller 0–1
S. Berghuis
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 David Neres
↦ Antony
Daishawn Redan 🟨
49′
51′
🟨 Ryan Gravenberch
67′
S. Haller 0–2
S. Berghuis
C. Landu 🔁
↦ D. Redan
68′
G. Kastaneer 🔁
↦ S. Tedić
68′
E. Mbinga 🔁
↦ E. Reijnders
68′
78′
🟨 Noussair Mazraoui
82′
🔁 M. Daramy
↦ S. Berghuis
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
5 K. Paal F
34 M. De Wit D
15 S. Kersten D
3 S. Voet D
13 R. Strieder M
20 T. van den Belt M
19 D. Redan F
9 S. Tedić F
23 E. Reijnders M
Bench (8)
45 C. Landu
7 G. Kastaneer
32 E. Mbinga
16 J. Schendelaar
40 M. Hauptmeijer
27 M. Pabai
4 Y. Nakayama
21 S. Lagsir

Coach: A. Langeler

Ajax

4-2-3-1
32 R. Pasveer G
17 D. Blind D
12 N. Mazraoui D
2 J. Timber D
15 D. Rensch D
4 E. Álvarez M
8 R. Gravenberch M
10 D. Tadić M
23 S. Berghuis M
22 S. Haller F
11 Antony M
Bench (10)
7 David Neres
30 M. Daramy
25 K. Taylor
19 Z. Labyad
52 C. Raatsie
35 Y. Baas
3 P. Schuurs
9 Danilo
51 C. Setford
26 V. Jensen

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
12,64
U
7,18
B ✓
1,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,35
U2,5 ✓
3,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.