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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Motherwell
T T U S S
2–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

26% Possession 74%
6 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 5. · Aberdeen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 5 4 0 1 +6 12
2 Hibernian 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Hearts 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Aberdeen 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Motherwell 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Celtic 4 2 0 2 +10 6
7 Dundee United 4 2 0 2 -2 6
8 ST Johnstone 5 0 3 2 -2 3
9 Dundee 5 0 3 2 -7 3
10 Ross County 4 0 2 2 -5 2
11 St Mirren 4 0 2 2 -7 2
12 Livingston 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Aberdeen
1–0 K. van Veen
K. Woolery
26′
Kevin van Veen 🟨
27′
Kaiyne Woolery 🟨
36′
Mark O'Hara 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Lewis Ferguson
2–0 J. Ojala
K. van Veen
59′
62′
🔁 D. Bates
↦ C. Ramsay
67′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ F. Ojo
67′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ M. Longstaff
Liam David Grimshaw 🟨
72′
R. Lamie 🔁
↦ K. Woolery
73′
S. Goss 🔁
↦ K. van Veen
80′
Tony Watt 🟨
83′
91′
🟨 Ross McCrorie
B. Maguire 🔁
↦ T. Watt
92′
93′
🟨 Scott Brown
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
14 J. Ojala D
23 L. Grimshaw M
19 N. McGinley D
21 S. Johansen D
5 B. Mugabi D
8 M. O'Hara M
16 C. Slattery M
32 T. Watt F
9 K. van Veen F
7 K. Woolery F
Bench (7)
4 R. Lamie
27 S. Goss
6 B. Maguire
17 J. Amaluzor
29 C. Shields
22 L. Donnelly
12 S. Fox

Coach: G. Alexander

Aberdeen

4-3-3
1 J. Lewis G
5 D. Gallagher D
3 J. MacKenzie D
22 C. Ramsay D
8 S. Brown M
16 F. Ojo F
2 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
44 M. Longstaff M
7 M. Watkins F
9 C. Ramírez F
Bench (7)
27 D. Bates
18 C. McLennan
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
24 D. Campbell
20 T. Jenks
17 J. Hayes
25 G. Woods

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,90
U
3,16
B
2,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.