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2. Bundesliga

Ingolstadt

T T T U S

0–3

Full-time

Werder Bremen

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ingolstadt Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 27%

20%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

67%

Both score Ø 54%

40%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

2,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

11 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 8

4 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ingolstadt 16. · Werder Bremen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Paderborn	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	St Pauli	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Dresden	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Nurnberg	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Darmstadt	5	2	1	2	+4	7
9	Schalke 04	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Hamburg	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Heidenheim	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Hansa Rostock	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Sandhausen	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Holstein Kiel	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Ingolstadt	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Hannover	5	1	1	3	-8	4
18	Erzgebirge Aue	5	0	3	2	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Nurnberg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+7	6
4	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Dresden	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Heidenheim	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Hannover	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Holstein Kiel	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Hamburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Ingolstadt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Erzgebirge Aue	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Sandhausen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Hansa Rostock	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Regensburg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Dresden	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hansa Rostock	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sandhausen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Ingolstadt	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Erzgebirge Aue	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Holstein Kiel	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.