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Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
S S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Stal Mielec
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Stal Mielec
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 8. · Stal Mielec 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 6 4 2 0 +8 14
2 Pogon Szczecin 6 3 2 1 +4 11
3 Wisla 6 3 1 2 +4 10
4 Slask Wroclaw 6 2 4 0 +3 10
5 Piast Gliwice 6 3 1 2 +2 10
6 Lechia Gdansk 6 2 3 1 +2 9
7 Radomiak Radom 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Jagiellonia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
9 Cracovia 7 2 2 3 -4 8
10 Wisla Plock 6 2 1 3 +2 7
11 Warta Poznan 7 1 4 2 +1 7
12 Rakow 4 2 1 1 -1 7
13 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 1 3 -2 7
14 Stal Mielec 6 2 1 3 -3 7
15 Legia 4 2 0 2 +0 6
16 Zaglebie 5 2 0 3 -5 6
17 Nieciecza 6 0 3 3 -4 3
18 Leczna 6 0 2 4 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.