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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
Waregem
T S T U S
2–4
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 24%
33%
14%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
67%
43%
Both score Ø 69%
67%
71%
Average goals
3,2
2,1
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
4 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
3 Offside 10
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 13. · Cercle Brugge 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 7 4 1 2 +4 13
2 Oostende 8 4 0 4 -5 12
3 Club Brugge 6 3 2 1 +3 11
4 Eupen 8 3 2 3 +3 11
5 Charleroi 6 2 4 0 +6 10
6 Anderlecht 5 3 1 1 +6 10
7 Genk 5 3 1 1 +5 10
8 Standard 6 3 1 2 -4 10
9 St. Gilloise 4 3 0 1 +7 9
10 Seraing 6 3 0 3 -3 9
11 Seraing United 6 3 0 3 -3 9
12 Antwerp 6 2 2 2 +2 8
13 Waregem 6 2 2 2 -1 8
14 Mechelen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
15 St Truiden 6 2 1 3 -3 7
16 Cercle Brugge 7 1 2 4 -3 5
17 Gent 4 1 1 2 +3 4
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 0 4 2 -7 4
19 Beerschot VA 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Cercle Brugge
1–0 Z. Gano
B. Srarfi
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Z. Gano
B. Srarfi
49′
54′
🔁 R. Matondo
↦ T. Somers
65′
Álex Millán 2–1
Vitinho
Alessandro Ciranni 🟨
67′
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ B. Srarfi
72′
72′
Álex Millán 2–2
76′
🟨 Vitinho
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ A. Ciranni
79′
F. Boya 🔁
↦ B. Sørmo
79′
79′
🔁 K. Denkey
↦ Álex Millán
84′
🔁 Waldo Rubio
↦ O. Deman
85′
🔁 D. Hotič
↦ C. Vanhoutte
89′
Vitinho 2–3
Waldo Rubio
93′
D. Hotič 2–4
94′
🟨 Dino Hotić
Jelle Vossen 🟥
95′
Jelle Vossen ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
95′
95′
ℹ️ Jelle Vossen
VAR: Card upgrade
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Waregem

3-4-1-2
25 L. Bostyn G
33 C. Humphreys-Grant D
14 A. Ciranni M
24 E. Pletinckx D
6 D. Hubert M
8 L. Vigen F
22 B. Sørmo D
16 A. Sissako M
11 B. Srarfi M
9 J. Vossen F
93 Z. Gano F
Bench (7)
19 D. Kutesa
17 J. Dompé
15 F. Boya
51 M. Beernaert
23 A. Fadera
80 Y. Sylla
54 D. De Neve

Coach: F. Dury

Cercle Brugge

3-4-3
1 T. Didillon G
19 D. Velkovski M
18 S. Miangué D
4 J. Daland D
2 Vitinho M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
6 E. Utkus D
14 C. Vanhoutte M
23 O. Deman F
29 Álex Millán F
34 T. Somers F
Bench (7)
11 R. Matondo
9 K. Denkey
7 Waldo Rubio
10 D. Hotič
25 A. Corryn
28 H. Van der Bruggen
89 S. Bruzzese

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U
3,56
B ✓
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.