Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sirius
Ostersunds
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AIK
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 36 |
| 2 |
Djurgarden
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +13 | 34 |
| 3 |
Malmo FF
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +16 | 33 |
| 4 |
Elfsborg
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +14 | 33 |
| 5 |
Hammarby
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +7 | 27 |
| 6 |
Norrkoping
|
17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | +6 | 26 |
| 7 |
Kalmar
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 24 |
| 8 |
Varberg
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |
Hacken
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Halmstad
|
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |
Sirius
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 |
Goteborg
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 |
Degerfors
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 18 |
| 14 |
Mjallby
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Orebro | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -19 | 13 |
| 16 | Ostersunds | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -14 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sirius
Djurgarden
Sirius
Sirius
AIK
Varberg
Sirius
Sirius
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.