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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Ajax

S U S S S

3–1

Full-time

VVV Venlo

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

0,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 50%

81%

19%

Points per game

2,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

69%

75%

Both score Ø 58%

47%

69%

Average goals

3,7

3,9

Scored

3,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,6

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%

19 Shots 13

10 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · VVV Venlo 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	32	26	4	2	+75	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	32	20	8	4	+37	68
3	AZ Alkmaar	32	20	7	5	+29	67
4	Vitesse	32	18	6	8	+16	60
5	Feyenoord	30	15	8	7	+25	53
6	Utrecht	30	13	10	7	+11	49
7	Groningen	31	14	6	11	+4	48
8	Heracles	32	12	7	13	-6	43
9	Sparta Rotterdam	31	12	6	13	+0	42
10	For Sittard	32	12	4	16	-7	40
11	Heerenveen	32	9	12	11	-3	39
12	Twente	32	9	11	12	-2	38
13	Zwolle	32	8	11	13	-8	35
14	Waalwijk	32	6	9	17	-20	27
15	Willem II	32	6	7	19	-32	25
16	FC Emmen	32	5	9	18	-34	24
17	VVV Venlo	32	6	5	21	-42	23
18	Den Haag	32	4	10	18	-43	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	2	1	+37	41
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	3	1	+24	39
3	Vitesse	16	11	4	1	+16	37
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	2	3	+16	35
5	Feyenoord	14	8	4	2	+19	28
6	Heracles	16	8	3	5	+13	27
7	Groningen	16	7	5	4	+4	26
8	Heerenveen	16	6	5	5	+5	23
9	Utrecht	15	6	5	4	+2	23
10	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	3	7	+3	21
11	Zwolle	16	5	6	5	+0	21
12	For Sittard	16	5	2	9	-6	17
13	Willem II	16	5	2	9	-12	17
14	Waalwijk	16	4	4	8	-5	16
15	Twente	16	3	6	7	-3	15
16	FC Emmen	16	3	4	9	-17	13
17	VVV Venlo	16	3	4	9	-22	13
18	Den Haag	16	1	6	9	-18	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	2	1	+38	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	5	2	+13	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	8	5	3	+13	29
4	Utrecht	15	7	5	3	+9	26
5	Feyenoord	16	7	4	5	+6	25
6	Twente	16	6	5	5	+1	23
7	Vitesse	16	7	2	7	+0	23
8	For Sittard	16	7	2	7	-1	23
9	Groningen	15	7	1	7	+0	22
10	Sparta Rotterdam	15	6	3	6	-3	21
11	Heerenveen	16	3	7	6	-8	16
12	Heracles	16	4	4	8	-19	16
13	Zwolle	16	3	5	8	-8	14
14	Den Haag	16	3	4	9	-25	13
15	Waalwijk	16	2	5	9	-15	11
16	FC Emmen	16	2	5	9	-17	11
17	VVV Venlo	16	3	1	12	-20	10
18	Willem II	16	1	5	10	-20	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.