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Eredivisie
Referee: R Martens
Zwolle
S S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Groningen
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 33/32 matches
Win Ø 34%
24%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
52%
41%
Both score Ø 51%
58%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Groningen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 33 27 4 2 +77 85
2 PSV Eindhoven 33 21 8 4 +39 71
3 AZ Alkmaar 33 20 8 5 +29 68
4 Vitesse 33 18 7 8 +16 61
5 Feyenoord 31 15 9 7 +25 54
6 Utrecht 31 13 11 7 +11 50
7 Groningen 32 14 7 11 +4 49
8 Heracles 33 12 8 13 -6 44
9 Sparta Rotterdam 32 12 7 13 +0 43
10 For Sittard 33 12 5 16 -7 41
11 Heerenveen 33 9 12 12 -5 39
12 Twente 33 9 11 13 -3 38
13 Zwolle 33 8 11 14 -10 35
14 Waalwijk 33 7 9 17 -19 30
15 Willem II 33 7 7 19 -29 28
16 FC Emmen 33 6 9 18 -32 27
17 VVV Venlo 33 6 5 22 -44 23
18 Den Haag 33 4 10 19 -46 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Groningen
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 S. Schreck
↦ M. El Hankouri
57′
🔁 R. Lundqvist
↦ A. El Messaoudi
E. Reijnders 🔁
↦ V. Misidjan
64′
M. van Duinen 🔁
↦ B. Manuel
64′
B. van Polen 🔁
↦ R. Strieder
65′
76′
🔁 P. Abraham
↦ J. Larsen
76′
🔁 T. Dallinga
↦ T. Suslov
R. Ghoochannejhad 🔁
↦ S. Tedić
78′
D. Bajselmani 🔁
↦ M. Doue
78′
0–1 K. Itakura
own goal
80′
83′
🔁 B. Meijer
↦ L. Miguel
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama D
36 M. Doue D
13 R. Strieder M
22 P. Clement M
25 I. Pherai M
20 T. van den Belt D
7 V. Misidjan F
14 B. Manuel F
27 S. Tedić F
Bench (10)
23 E. Reijnders
9 M. van Duinen
2 B. van Polen
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
17 D. Bajselmani
16 D. van Drenth
34 D. Chirino
11 J. Drost
21 S. Lagsir
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: B. Konterman

Groningen

3-5-2
1 S. Padt G
5 K. Itakura D
17 Migue Leal M
48 L. Miguel D
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
26 D. van Kaam D
14 P. Joosten F
11 M. El Hankouri M
9 J. Larsen F
31 T. Suslov M
Bench (10)
8 S. Schreck
7 R. Lundqvist
19 P. Abraham
37 T. Dallinga
58 B. Meijer
25 J. de Boer
23 P. Bråtveit
52 T. de Jonge
51 T. Blokzijl
68 L. Valente

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,45
B
2,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Martens · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.