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Süper Lig

Referee: Ü Öztürk

Karagumruk

S S S U T

4–0

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

2,5

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%

16 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

11 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 10. · Ad. Demirspor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Konyaspor	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Trabzonspor	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Galatasaray	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Altay	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Hatayspor	3	1	1	1	+4	4
10	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Kayserispor	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Alanyaspor	3	1	0	2	-7	3
14	Goztep	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Sivasspor	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Gaziantep	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Giresunspor	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Konyaspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Hatayspor	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Antalyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Altay	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Karagumruk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rizespor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Gaziantep	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Goztep	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Alanyaspor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Giresunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Altay	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Yeni Malatyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Kayserispor	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Alanyaspor	2	1	0	1	-4	3
9	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Ad. Demirspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Besiktas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Karagumruk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hatayspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sivasspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Giresunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Antalyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Gaziantep	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Rizespor	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.