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Serie A
Referee: A Rapuano
Empoli
S T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Venezia
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 11. · Venezia 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lazio 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Roma 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Inter 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Milan 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Udinese 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Atalanta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Fiorentina 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Empoli 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Juventus 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Sampdoria 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -5 1
16 Torino 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Verona 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Salernitana 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Genoa 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Venezia 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Venezia
Ardian Ismajli 🟨
7′
13′
T. Henry 0–1
M. Aramu
15′
🟨 Mattia Aramu
33′
🔁 D. Heymans
↦ M. Aramu
34′
🟨 Luca Lezzerini
Nicolas Haas 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
F. Di Francesco 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
46′
L. Tonelli 🔁
↦ A. Ismajli
46′
46′
🔁 N. Mäenpää
↦ L. Lezzerini
46′
🔁 C. Molinaro
↦ D. Schnegg
48′
🟨 Dennis Johnsen
54′
🔁 D. Črnigoj
↦ L. Fiordilino
A. Pinamonti 🔁
↦ L. Mancuso
62′
L. Štulac 🔁
↦ S. Ricci
62′
67′
🔁 D. Okereke
↦ A. Vacca
68′
D. Okereke 0–2
T. Henry
L. Henderson 🔁
↦ P. Stojanović
83′
86′
🟨 Daan Heymans
88′
🟨 Niki Mäenpää
1–2 N. Bajrami
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Empoli

4-1-3-2
13 G. Vicario G
30 P. Stojanović D
33 S. Luperto D
3 R. Marchizza D
34 A. Ismajli D
32 N. Haas M
25 F. Bandinelli M
10 N. Bajrami M
28 S. Ricci M
7 L. Mancuso F
9 P. Cutrone F
Bench (12)
11 F. Di Francesco
26 L. Tonelli
99 A. Pinamonti
5 L. Štulac
8 L. Henderson
1 S. Ujkani
35 T. Baldanzi
42 M. Viti
6 S. Romagnoli
27 S. Żurkowski
19 A. La Mantia
22 J. Furlan

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Venezia

4-3-3
12 L. Lezzerini G
31 M. Caldara D
7 P. Mazzocchi D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
28 D. Schnegg D
5 A. Vacca M
16 L. Fiordilino M
27 G. Busio M
10 M. Aramu F
14 T. Henry F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (12)
18 D. Heymans
1 N. Mäenpää
3 C. Molinaro
33 D. Črnigoj
77 D. Okereke
13 M. Modolo
8 T. Tessmann
9 F. Forte
55 R. Haps
22 T. Ebuehi
30 M. Svoboda
23 S. Kiyine

Coach: P. Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U
3,83
B ✓
4,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.