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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Ajax

S S S S T

4–0

Full-time

Zwolle

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

6,0

3,2

Scored

5,3

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+4,7

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

82%

18%

Points per game

2,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

82%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

36%

64%

Average goals

4,5

2,9

Scored

3,9

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+3,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

67% Possession 33%

22 Shots 6

13 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

14 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Zwolle 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	0	2	+36	27
2	Vitesse	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+15	24
4	Groningen	12	7	2	3	+3	23
5	Feyenoord	9	6	3	0	+12	21
6	Twente	11	6	3	2	+11	21
7	Heerenveen	11	5	4	2	+5	19
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	5	1	+7	17
9	Zwolle	11	2	6	3	-4	12
10	Waalwijk	12	3	3	6	-9	12
11	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	2	5	-2	11
12	Utrecht	9	2	5	2	-3	11
13	Heracles	12	2	3	7	-11	9
14	For Sittard	12	2	3	7	-13	9
15	VVV Venlo	11	2	3	6	-15	9
16	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Den Haag	12	1	4	7	-18	7
18	FC Emmen	12	0	4	8	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Vitesse	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Groningen	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Twente	6	3	2	1	+6	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Zwolle	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Utrecht	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-3	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	VVV Venlo	5	1	2	2	-13	5
17	FC Emmen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
3	Twente	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	PSV Eindhoven	6	2	3	1	+4	9
7	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Waalwijk	6	2	0	4	-7	6
10	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
11	VVV Venlo	6	1	1	4	-2	4
12	Zwolle	5	0	4	1	-4	4
13	For Sittard	6	1	1	4	-8	4
14	Utrecht	4	0	3	1	-3	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Heracles	6	0	2	4	-13	2
18	FC Emmen	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.