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Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

Nijmegen

S S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Zwolle

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

5,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

5,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-5,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%

8 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nijmegen 18. · Zwolle 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	1	1	0	+5	3
2	Feyenoord	1	1	0	+4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	+4	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	+2	3
5	For Sittard	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Vitesse	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Waalwijk	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Heerenveen	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Twente	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Cambuur	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Zwolle	1	0	1	-1	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Heracles	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Willem II	1	0	1	-4	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	-4	0
18	Nijmegen	1	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	1	1	0	+5	3
2	Utrecht	1	1	0	+4	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Waalwijk	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Cambuur	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Zwolle	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Heracles	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Willem II	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	+4	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Groningen	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Vitesse	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Twente	1	0	1	-1	0
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	-4	0
9	Nijmegen	1	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.