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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Twente
T U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Ajax
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
3,3
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+3,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
5,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 13. · Ajax 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Utrecht 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Groningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Waalwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -2 1
12 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 1 1 -4 1
13 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Cambuur 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,86
U ✓
5,82
B
1,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,35
U2,5 ✓
3,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.