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Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Hoffenheim

U S S U T

0–2

Full-time

Mainz

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

4,3

2,0

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 11

0 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 9. · Mainz 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+7	7
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Freiburg	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	FC Koln	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Mainz	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	RB Leipzig	3	1	0	2	+2	3
11	Bochum	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Bielefeld	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Ein Frankfurt	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	M'gladbach	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-7	1
17	Augsburg	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Hertha	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Union Berlin	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	RB Leipzig	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-5	0
17	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-7	0
18	Greuther Furth	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.