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Premier League
Referee: J Moss
3–0
Full-time
Tottenham
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 2
4 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 2
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Crystal Palace 14. · Tottenham 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tottenham 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 West Ham 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Man United 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Liverpool 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Chelsea 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Everton 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Man City 3 2 0 1 +9 6
8 Brighton 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Leicester 3 2 0 1 -1 6
10 Brentford 3 1 2 0 +2 5
11 Aston Villa 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Watford 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Southampton 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Crystal Palace 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 Leeds 3 0 2 1 -4 2
16 Burnley 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Newcastle 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Wolves 3 0 0 3 -3 0
19 Norwich 3 0 0 3 -9 0
20 Arsenal 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Tottenham
12′
🔁 J. Rodon
↦ E. Dier
Half-time 0–0
Wilfried Zaha 🟨
53′
53′
🟨 Japhet Tanganga
58′
🟨 Japhet Tanganga
58′
🟥 Japhet Tanganga
60′
🔁 B. Davies
↦ H. Winks
L. Milivojević 🔁
↦ C. Kouyaté
67′
Conor Gallagher ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
75′
1–0 W. Zaha
76′
81′
🟨 Lucas Moura
O. Édouard 🔁
↦ C. Benteke
84′
2–0 O. Édouard
W. Zaha
84′
M. Olise 🔁
↦ J. Ayew
86′
Conor Gallagher 🟨
89′
3–0 O. Édouard
C. Gallagher
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-3-3
13 Guaita G
2 J. Ward D
16 J. Andersen D
6 M. Guehi D
3 T. Mitchell D
18 J. McArthur M
8 C. Kouyaté M
23 C. Gallagher M
20 C. Benteke F
9 J. Ayew F
11 W. Zaha F
Bench (9)
4 L. Milivojević
22 O. Édouard
7 M. Olise
44 J. Riedewald
34 M. Kelly
1 J. Butland
17 N. Clyne
5 J. Tomkins
12 W. Hughes

Coach: P. Vieira

Tottenham

4-3-1-2
1 H. Lloris G
3 Reguilón D
25 J. Tanganga D
12 Emerson D
27 Lucas Moura F
5 P. Højbjerg M
20 D. Alli M
15 E. Dier D
8 H. Winks M
29 O. Skipp M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
14 J. Rodon
33 B. Davies
28 T. Ndombèlé
49 T. Omole
22 P. Gollini
11 Bryan Gil
2 M. Doherty
54 D. Markanday
44 D. Scarlett

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,25
U
3,44
B
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Moss · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.