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2. Bundesliga
Karlsruhe
S S U U T
2–2
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

22 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 6. · Holstein Kiel 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Regensburg 5 4 0 1 +9 12
2 Paderborn 5 3 2 0 +8 11
3 St Pauli 5 3 1 1 +4 10
4 Dresden 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Nurnberg 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Karlsruhe 5 2 2 1 +4 8
7 Werder Bremen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Darmstadt 5 2 1 2 +4 7
9 Schalke 04 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Hamburg 5 1 3 1 +1 6
11 Heidenheim 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 1 1 3 -3 4
13 Hansa Rostock 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Sandhausen 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 Holstein Kiel 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Ingolstadt 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 Hannover 5 1 1 3 -8 4
18 Erzgebirge Aue 5 0 3 2 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U ✓
3,41
B
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.