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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Cambuur
T T T T S
5–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cambuur 13. · Go Ahead Eagles 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +10 7
3 Utrecht 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Willem II 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 -2 6
8 For Sittard 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Waalwijk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Twente 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Cambuur 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Vitesse 3 1 0 2 -7 3
15 Heracles 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles
Issa Kallon 🟨
12′
36′
L. Brouwers 0–1
B. Kuipers
38′
ℹ️ Luuk Brouwers
VAR: Goal confirmed
1–1 T. Boere
I. Kallon
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Iñigo Córdoba
↦ O. Heil
2–1 T. Boere
50′
52′
🟨 Gerrit Nauber
3–1 M. Tol
R. Maulun
53′
4–1 J. Jacobs
D. Schmidt
56′
57′
🔁 Cardona
↦ I. Lidberg
58′
🔁 G. Botos
↦ R. Oratmangoen
T. Kiss 🔁
↦ I. Kallon
69′
M. Paulissen 🔁
↦ M. Breij
69′
5–1 T. Kiss
75′
78′
Iñigo Córdoba 5–2
J. Bakker
F. Krastev 🔁
↦ J. Jacobs
79′
M. Gullit 🔁
↦ M. Tol
79′
Mitchell Paulissen 🟨
80′
Calvin Mac-Intosh 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 P. Rommens
↦ M. Berden
83′
🔁 T. Tuzlacik
↦ L. Brouwers
J. van der Meer 🔁
↦ C. Mac-Intosch
89′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Cambuur

4-1-4-1
1 S. Stevens G
3 C. Mac-Intosch D
5 D. Schmidt D
15 M. Tol D
16 A. Bangura D
20 R. Maulun M
8 J. Jacobs M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
14 M. Breij M
9 T. Boere F
7 I. Kallon M
Bench (11)
21 T. Kiss
10 M. Paulissen
30 F. Krastev
23 M. Gullit
33 J. van der Meer
12 P. Bos
31 B. Minnema
19 S. Hendriks
17 N. Doodeman
18 D. Sambissa
4 E. Schouten

Coach: H. de Jong

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers D
20 M. Deijl D
2 B. Lucassen M
26 J. Bakker D
8 L. Brouwers M
19 O. Heil M
9 I. Lidberg F
7 M. Berden M
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (11)
21 Iñigo Córdoba
29 Cardona
30 G. Botos
10 P. Rommens
14 T. Tuzlacik
23 A. Noppert
31 J. Schuurman
6 J. Idzes
24 Y. Bourhane
27 J. Mulenga
4 J. Kramer

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,80
B
4,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.