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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Monaco

U U T T S

0–2

Full-time

Marseille

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 46%

25%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

25%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,3

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

7 Shots 13

0 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 14. · Marseille 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Angers	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Lorient	5	2	2	1	+0	8
5	Nice	3	2	1	0	+8	7
6	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Lens	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Rennes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Lyon	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Lille	5	1	2	2	-4	5
11	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Metz	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	St Etienne	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Reims	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Brest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	Troyes	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Lyon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Lens	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Clermont	3	1	1	1	-2	4
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lille	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Lorient	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Metz	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.