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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Paris SG

S S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Clermont

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Clermont

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

3,0

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

3,0

2,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Clermont 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Angers	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Clermont	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Lorient	5	2	2	1	+0	8
5	Nice	3	2	1	0	+8	7
6	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Lens	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Rennes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Lyon	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Lille	5	1	2	2	-4	5
11	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Metz	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	St Etienne	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Reims	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Brest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	Troyes	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Lyon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Lens	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lille	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Lorient	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Metz	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.