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Super League
Referee: E Staubli
Luzern
T U T T U
1–1
Full-time
Grasshoppers
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
83%
40%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Super League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
4,4
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 10. · Grasshoppers 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Basel 5 3 2 0 +11 11
3 Servette 5 2 1 2 -2 7
4 Sion 5 2 1 2 -4 7
5 St. Gallen 5 1 3 1 +0 6
6 Lugano 4 2 0 2 +0 6
7 Young Boys 4 1 2 1 +0 5
8 Grasshoppers 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Lausanne 5 0 2 3 -5 2
10 Luzern 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Grasshoppers
1–0 S. Sidler
3′
Half-time 1–1
51′
C. Herc 1–1
B. Bolla
61′
🔁 Léo Bonatini
↦ S. Demhasaj
61′
🔁 H. Kawabe
↦ P. Pušić
Filip Ugrinic 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Toti Gomes
N. Čumić 🔁
↦ M. Schulz
64′
V. Tasar 🔁
↦ S. Campo
64′
73′
🔁 A. Arigoni
↦ Nuno da Silva
73′
🔁 F. Momoh
↦ Toti
J. Wehrmann 🔁
↦ C. Gentner
75′
77′
🔁 A. Cvetković
↦ G. Margreitter
81′
🟨 Hayao Kawabe
84′
🟨 Christián Herc
Y. Alounga 🔁
↦ D. Sorgić
88′
Ibrahima Ndiaye 🟨
89′
Varol Tasar 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
28 H. Badstuber D
13 M. Frýdek D
34 S. Sidler D
46 M. Burch D
4 C. Gentner M
15 M. Schulz M
10 S. Campo M
19 F. Ugrinic M
7 I. Ndiaye F
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (9)
20 N. Čumić
16 V. Tasar
6 J. Wehrmann
22 Y. Alounga
29 P. Farkas
17 S. Grether
90 V. Vasić
66 D. Domgjoni
31 L. Emini

Coach: F. Celestini

Grasshoppers

3-4-1-2
1 André Moreira G
33 G. Margreitter D
41 N. Loosli D
31 D. Schmid M
77 B. Bolla M
24 Toti D
28 C. Herc M
7 Nuno da Silva F
29 D. Diani M
10 P. Pušić F
9 S. Demhasaj F
Bench (9)
11 Léo Bonatini
40 H. Kawabe
34 A. Arigoni
59 F. Momoh
5 A. Cvetković
27 M. Matic
3 E. Lenjani
51 F. Hoxha
23 N. Gjorgjev

Coach: G. Contini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Staubli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.