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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Twente
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Utrecht
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 14. · Utrecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +10 7
3 Utrecht 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Willem II 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 -2 6
8 For Sittard 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Waalwijk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Cambuur 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Vitesse 3 1 0 2 -7 3
14 Twente 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Heracles 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Utrecht
Dimitris Limnios 🟨
-5′
Mees Hilgers 🟨
12′
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Willem Janssen
57′
🔁 M. Mahi
↦ Q. Timber
J. Bosch 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
66′
V. Misidjan 🔁
↦ D. Limnios
66′
M. Ugalde 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
66′
74′
🟨 Django Warmerdam
75′
🔁 S. van de Streek
↦ B. Ramselaar
75′
🔁 Adrián Dalmau
↦ A. Douvikas
Michal Sadílek 🟨
81′
82′
🟨 Moussa Sylla
C. Staring 🔁
↦ W. Brama
87′
Manfred Ugalde 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Adam Maher
1–0 R. Pröpper
M. Hilgers
91′
Julio Pleguezuelo 🔁
↦ D. Rots
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
2 G. Troupée D
35 M. Hilgers D
6 W. Brama M
23 M. Sadílek D
18 D. Limnios F
14 M. Vlap M
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
39 D. Rots F
Bench (10)
32 J. Bosch
10 V. Misidjan
27 M. Ugalde
40 C. Staring
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
26 D. Cleonise
36 L. Everink
22 J. de Lange
50 J. Markelo
43 D. Đumić

Coach: R. Jans

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 M. Paes G
14 W. Janssen D
33 M. van der Hoorn D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
6 A. Maher M
10 S. Gustafson M
23 B. Ramselaar M
27 Q. Timber M
29 M. Sylla M
18 A. Douvikas F
Bench (12)
11 M. Mahi
22 S. van de Streek
9 Adrián Dalmau
17 B. Benamar
20 A. Zagre
8 J. van Overeem
16 F. de Keijzer
19 D. van den Berg
2 M. van der Maarel
26 O. Boussaid
32 E. Oelschlägel
37 M. Mallahi

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,53
U
3,56
B
2,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.