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Eredivisie

Referee: B Kuipers

AZ Alkmaar

S T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 28/27 matches

Win Ø 47%

61%

33%

Points per game

2,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

75%

41%

Both score Ø 60%

71%

48%

Average goals

3,6

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 3. · Sparta Rotterdam 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	27	22	3	2	+65	69
2	PSV Eindhoven	28	17	7	4	+32	58
3	AZ Alkmaar	28	17	7	4	+26	58
4	Vitesse	29	17	5	7	+18	56
5	Feyenoord	26	14	7	5	+28	49
6	Groningen	27	13	6	8	+4	45
7	Utrecht	25	11	8	6	+10	41
8	Heracles	29	11	6	12	-8	39
9	Twente	28	9	10	9	+3	37
10	Heerenveen	28	8	10	10	-3	34
11	For Sittard	28	10	4	14	-10	34
12	Sparta Rotterdam	27	9	6	12	-4	33
13	Zwolle	28	6	11	11	-9	29
14	Waalwijk	28	6	8	14	-16	26
15	Willem II	29	5	7	17	-30	22
16	VVV Venlo	28	6	4	18	-34	22
17	FC Emmen	28	3	9	16	-30	18
18	Den Haag	29	2	10	17	-42	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	11	2	1	+23	35
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+31	34
3	Vitesse	15	10	4	1	+15	34
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+13	29
5	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+22	27
6	Groningen	14	7	5	2	+7	26
7	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+9	24
8	Heerenveen	14	6	4	4	+7	22
9	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Zwolle	14	4	6	4	+0	18
11	Waalwijk	14	4	4	6	-2	16
12	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	3	7	-2	15
13	Twente	14	3	5	6	-2	14
14	For Sittard	14	4	2	8	-7	14
15	Willem II	14	4	2	8	-11	14
16	VVV Venlo	14	3	3	8	-20	12
17	FC Emmen	14	2	4	8	-15	10
18	Den Haag	14	0	6	8	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+34	35
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	5	1	+13	29
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	6	5	3	+9	23
4	Twente	14	6	5	3	+5	23
5	Feyenoord	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	Vitesse	14	7	1	6	+3	22
7	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+8	21
8	For Sittard	14	6	2	6	-3	20
9	Groningen	13	6	1	6	-3	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	3	5	-2	18
11	Heracles	14	4	3	7	-17	15
12	Heerenveen	14	2	6	6	-10	12
13	Zwolle	14	2	5	7	-9	11
14	VVV Venlo	14	3	1	10	-14	10
15	Waalwijk	14	2	4	8	-14	10
16	Den Haag	15	2	4	9	-26	10
17	FC Emmen	14	1	5	8	-15	8
18	Willem II	15	1	5	9	-19	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.