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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Werder Bremen
U S T T T
1–4
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
26%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
37%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
63%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 13. · RB Leipzig 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 4 3 +44 64
2 RB Leipzig 27 17 6 4 +26 57
3 Wolfsburg 27 15 9 3 +24 54
4 Ein Frankfurt 27 13 11 3 +18 50
5 Dortmund 27 13 4 10 +16 43
6 Leverkusen 27 12 7 8 +13 43
7 Union Berlin 27 9 12 6 +8 39
8 Stuttgart 27 10 9 8 +7 39
9 M'gladbach 27 10 9 8 +5 39
10 Freiburg 28 10 7 11 -2 37
11 Augsburg 27 9 5 13 -12 32
12 Hoffenheim 27 8 6 13 -6 30
13 Werder Bremen 27 7 9 11 -8 30
14 Bielefeld 28 7 5 16 -24 26
15 Hertha 27 6 7 14 -14 25
16 Mainz 27 6 7 14 -19 25
17 FC Koln 27 5 8 14 -22 23
18 Schalke 04 27 1 7 19 -54 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen RB Leipzig
23′
Daniel Olmo 0–1
K. Kampl
32′
A. Sørloth 0–2
C. Nkunku
41′
A. Sørloth 0–3
V. Orban
Half-time 0–3
M. Veljkovic 🔁
↦ Ö. Toprak
46′
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ E. Dinkçi
46′
K. Möhwald 🔁
↦ J. Mbom
46′
46′
🔁 B. Henrichs
↦ T. Adams
61′
🔁 A. Haidara
↦ J. Kluivert
1–3 M. Rashica
61′
63′
M. Sabitzer 1–4
B. Henrichs
R. Schmid 🔁
↦ F. Agu
68′
75′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ Daniel Olmo
75′
🔁 L. Klostermann
↦ M. Halstenberg
82′
🔁 Hwang Hee-Chan
↦ M. Sabitzer
Y. Ōsako 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
83′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-4-2-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
36 C. Groß M
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie M
32 M. Friedl D
17 F. Agu M
34 J. Mbom M
9 D. Selke F
19 J. Sargent F
43 E. Dinkçi F
Bench (9)
13 M. Veljkovic
7 M. Rashica
6 K. Möhwald
20 R. Schmid
8 Y. Ōsako
30 M. Zetterer
10 L. Bittencourt
28 I. Gruev
29 P. Erras

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

RB Leipzig

3-4-2-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 V. Orban D
6 I. Konaté D
44 K. Kampl M
7 M. Sabitzer M
18 C. Nkunku F
25 Daniel Olmo F
14 T. Adams M
19 A. Sørloth F
21 J. Kluivert M
Bench (9)
39 B. Henrichs
8 A. Haidara
20 L. Samardžić
16 L. Klostermann
11 Hwang Hee-Chan
13 P. Tschauner
47 J. Wosz
3 Angeliño
10 E. Forsberg

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,52
U
4,79
B ✓
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.