Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Virtus Entella
Salernitana
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Empoli
|
31 | 16 | 14 | 1 | +30 | 62 |
| 2 |
Lecce
|
32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | +25 | 58 |
| 3 |
Salernitana
|
32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | +4 | 54 |
| 4 |
Monza
|
32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | +14 | 52 |
| 5 |
Venezia
|
32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 50 |
| 6 |
Spal
|
32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | +3 | 47 |
| 7 |
Cittadella
|
32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | +11 | 46 |
| 8 |
Chievo
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 |
Brescia
|
32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | +2 | 43 |
| 10 |
Vicenza
|
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | +0 | 41 |
| 11 |
Reggina
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 |
Pisa
|
31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 |
Cremonese
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | +0 | 39 |
| 14 |
Frosinone
|
32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 15 | Pordenone | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | +0 | 37 |
| 16 |
Cosenza
|
32 | 5 | 17 | 10 | -6 | 32 |
| 17 |
Ascoli
|
32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -14 | 31 |
| 18 |
Reggiana
|
33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -23 | 31 |
| 19 |
Pescara
|
32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -23 | 27 |
| 20 |
Virtus Entella
|
32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -26 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella
Monza
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella
Cremonese
Spal
Virtus Entella
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.