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Eredivisie
Referee: B Kuipers
AZ Alkmaar
T T S S S
4–2
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 23/21 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
78%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
74%
43%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 3. · Feyenoord 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 23 18 3 2 +55 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 24 15 6 3 +29 51
3 AZ Alkmaar 23 13 7 3 +19 46
4 Vitesse 24 14 3 7 +14 45
5 Feyenoord 21 12 5 4 +22 41
6 Groningen 23 12 5 6 +7 41
7 Twente 24 9 8 7 +7 35
8 Utrecht 21 8 8 5 +7 32
9 For Sittard 24 9 4 11 -7 31
10 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 -3 30
11 Heracles 24 8 5 11 -11 29
12 Zwolle 24 5 11 8 -6 26
13 Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 -13 23
14 Sparta Rotterdam 22 6 4 12 -8 22
15 VVV Venlo 23 6 4 13 -23 22
16 Willem II 24 4 5 15 -27 17
17 Den Haag 24 2 9 13 -30 15
18 FC Emmen 24 2 6 16 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
8′
M. Senesi 0–1
S. Berghuis
Yukinari Sugawara 🟨
9′
1–1 M. Boadu
C. Stengs
22′
26′
L. Sinisterra 1–2
2–2 M. Boadu
O. Wijndal
41′
Half-time 2–2
47′
🟨 Bryan Linssen
J. Svensson 🔁
↦ Y. Sugawara
58′
D. de Wit 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
58′
3–2 M. Boadu
F. Midtsjø
64′
65′
🔁 R. Haps
↦ L. Sinisterra
65′
🔁 N. Jørgensen
↦ B. Linssen
69′
🟨 Eric Botteghin
75′
🟨 Leroy Fer
4–2 T. Koopmeiners
76′
83′
🟨 Steven Berghuis
85′
🔁 R. Boženík
↦ S. Berghuis
Z. Aboukhlal 🔁
↦ C. Stengs
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
15 B. Martins Indi D
3 P. Chatzidiakos D
5 O. Wijndal D
26 Y. Sugawara D
6 F. Midtsjø M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
28 A. Guðmundsson M
11 J. Karlsson F
9 M. Boadu F
7 C. Stengs F
Bench (12)
2 J. Svensson
10 D. de Wit
17 Z. Aboukhlal
20 J. Clasie
18 H. Evjen
40 M. Gullit
24 T. Reijnders
19 J. Duin
55 B. Reus
21 K. Goudmijn
16 H. Verhulst
22 T. Letschert

Coach: P. Jansen

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
33 Eric Botteghin D
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
15 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
8 L. Fer M
28 J. Toornstra M
23 O. Kökçü M
11 B. Linssen F
10 S. Berghuis F
17 L. Sinisterra F
Bench (12)
5 R. Haps
9 N. Jørgensen
19 R. Boženík
21 N. Marsman
43 A. El Bouchataoui
27 C. Conteh
24 L. Pratto
20 João Carlos Teixeira
30 R. ten Hove
6 M. Diemers
22 L. Geertruida
25 U. Spajić

Coach: D. Advocaat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,72
B
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Kuipers · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.