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Serie B

Lecce

S S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Spal

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

2,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 41%

47%

34%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

63%

31%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

47%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,9

1,2

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

9 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 3

16 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 2. · Spal 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	31	16	14	1	+30	62
2	Lecce	32	15	13	4	+25	58
3	Salernitana	32	14	12	6	+4	54
4	Monza	32	13	13	6	+14	52
5	Venezia	32	13	11	8	+10	50
6	Spal	32	11	14	7	+3	47
7	Cittadella	32	12	10	10	+11	46
8	Chievo	31	11	12	8	+9	45
9	Brescia	32	11	10	11	+2	43
10	Vicenza	32	9	14	9	+0	41
11	Reggina	32	10	11	11	-3	41
12	Pisa	31	9	13	9	-4	40
13	Cremonese	31	10	9	12	+0	39
14	Frosinone	32	9	12	11	-9	39
15	Pordenone	31	8	13	10	+0	37
16	Cosenza	32	5	17	10	-6	32
17	Ascoli	32	7	10	15	-14	31
18	Reggiana	33	8	7	18	-23	31
19	Pescara	32	6	9	17	-23	27
20	Virtus Entella	32	4	10	18	-26	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	16	9	6	1	+12	33
2	Empoli	15	8	7	0	+16	31
3	Chievo	16	8	4	4	+10	28
4	Monza	16	7	6	3	+11	27
5	Cittadella	16	7	6	3	+9	27
6	Spal	16	7	6	3	+7	27
7	Lecce	16	6	8	2	+11	26
8	Venezia	16	8	2	6	+4	26
9	Brescia	16	7	4	5	+6	25
10	Pisa	16	5	9	2	+3	24
11	Vicenza	16	4	9	3	+1	21
12	Reggina	15	6	3	6	-2	21
13	Reggiana	17	5	5	7	-4	20
14	Ascoli	16	5	5	6	-6	20
15	Cremonese	15	5	4	6	+1	19
16	Pordenone	15	3	9	3	+5	18
17	Frosinone	16	3	7	6	-7	16
18	Cosenza	17	2	9	6	-5	15
19	Pescara	16	3	4	9	-9	13
20	Virtus Entella	16	3	4	9	-12	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	16	9	5	2	+14	32
2	Empoli	16	8	7	1	+14	31
3	Monza	16	6	7	3	+3	25
4	Venezia	16	5	9	2	+6	24
5	Frosinone	16	6	5	5	-2	23
6	Salernitana	16	5	6	5	-8	21
7	Vicenza	16	5	5	6	-1	20
8	Reggina	17	4	8	5	-1	20
9	Cremonese	16	5	5	6	-1	20
10	Spal	16	4	8	4	-4	20
11	Cittadella	16	5	4	7	+2	19
12	Pordenone	16	5	4	7	-5	19
13	Brescia	16	4	6	6	-4	18
14	Chievo	15	3	8	4	-1	17
15	Cosenza	15	3	8	4	-1	17
16	Pisa	15	4	4	7	-7	16
17	Pescara	16	3	5	8	-14	14
18	Ascoli	16	2	5	9	-8	11
19	Reggiana	16	3	2	11	-19	11
20	Virtus Entella	16	1	6	9	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.