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Ligue 2
Le Havre
T T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Ajaccio
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
19%
29%
Both score Ø 36%
39%
32%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 6
16 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 12. · Ajaccio 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 32 18 8 6 +16 62
2 Toulouse 31 17 7 7 +26 58
3 Clermont 30 16 8 6 +30 56
4 Paris FC 32 15 10 7 +12 55
5 Grenoble 31 15 9 7 +14 54
6 Auxerre 31 12 12 7 +17 48
7 Sochaux 31 11 13 7 +13 46
8 Nancy 31 10 10 11 +1 40
9 Valenciennes 31 10 10 11 -6 40
10 Rodez 31 8 14 9 -4 38
11 Ajaccio 31 10 8 13 -10 38
12 Le Havre 31 9 11 11 -10 38
13 Niort 31 9 11 11 -12 38
14 Amiens 29 9 10 10 -1 37
15 Caen 31 8 12 11 -9 36
16 Pau FC 31 8 8 15 -11 32
17 Dunkerque 30 8 7 15 -12 31
18 Guingamp 31 5 15 11 -11 30
19 Chambly 31 6 10 15 -23 28
20 Chateauroux 31 4 9 18 -20 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
U ✓
2,80
B
2,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,59
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.