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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
ST Johnstone
T S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,2
0,7
Scored
1,5
0,2
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
39%
30%
Both score Ø 36%
45%
27%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 6. · Aberdeen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 33 28 5 0 +68 89
2 Celtic 33 20 9 4 +42 69
3 Hibernian 33 16 8 9 +13 56
4 Aberdeen 33 13 10 10 +1 49
5 Livingston 33 12 8 13 -1 44
6 ST Johnstone 33 10 10 13 -6 40
7 St Mirren 33 10 10 13 -8 40
8 Dundee United 33 9 12 12 -14 39
9 Motherwell 33 9 8 16 -19 35
10 Ross County 33 8 5 20 -33 29
11 Kilmarnock 33 8 4 21 -14 28
12 Hamilton 33 6 9 18 -29 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Aberdeen
23′
🟨 Andy Considine
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Hornby
↦ F. Kamberi
52′
J. Hayes 0–1
59′
🟨 Niall McGinn
S. May 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
70′
D. Wotherspoon 🔁
↦ C. Kane
70′
76′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ M. Kennedy
76′
🔁 C. Ramsay
↦ N. McGinn
G. Melamed 🔁
↦ C. Bryson
79′
S. Tanser 🔁
↦ C. Booth
79′
M. O'Halloran 🔁
↦ C. Conway
82′
Alistair McCann 🟨
89′
93′
🔁 E. Ross
↦ J. Hayes
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth M
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
7 C. Conway F
13 C. Bryson M
18 A. McCann M
9 C. Kane F
16 G. Middleton F
Bench (9)
14 S. May
10 D. Wotherspoon
17 G. Melamed
3 S. Tanser
11 M. O'Halloran
15 C. Gilmour
26 L. Craig
2 J. Brown
12 E. Parish

Coach: C. Davidson

Aberdeen

4-4-1-1
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
3 T. Hoban D
29 J. MacKenzie D
17 J. Hayes M
10 N. McGinn F
33 M. Kennedy M
40 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
24 D. Campbell M
22 F. Kamberi F
Bench (9)
7 F. Hornby
18 C. McLennan
44 C. Ramsay
23 E. Ross
46 R. Duncan
43 G. Woods
28 M. Ruth
26 M. Virtanen
15 D. McGeouch

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U
2,99
B ✓
2,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.