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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T U T S U

1–3

Full-time

St Pauli

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 37%

37%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

52%

63%

Both score Ø 56%

48%

63%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 10

1 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 9. · St Pauli 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	27	17	3	7	+23	54
2	Hamburg	28	14	8	6	+22	50
3	Greuther Furth	27	14	8	5	+19	50
4	Holstein Kiel	26	13	7	6	+14	46
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	12	7	8	+2	43
6	Karlsruhe	27	12	6	9	+6	42
7	Heidenheim	27	12	6	9	+3	42
8	St Pauli	27	10	8	9	-2	38
9	Erzgebirge Aue	27	10	7	10	-1	37
10	Hannover	26	10	6	10	+7	36
11	Paderborn	27	9	8	10	+1	35
12	Darmstadt	28	10	5	13	-2	35
13	Nurnberg	27	8	8	11	-6	32
14	Regensburg	26	7	10	9	-5	31
15	Osnabruck	26	7	5	14	-15	26
16	Braunschweig	27	6	8	13	-23	26
17	Sandhausen	27	7	4	16	-18	25
18	Wurzburger Kickers	27	5	4	18	-25	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	14	9	3	2	+14	30
2	Bochum	14	9	2	3	+17	29
3	Hamburg	14	8	3	3	+17	27
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	8	3	2	+6	27
5	Erzgebirge Aue	13	7	4	2	+8	25
6	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
7	Hannover	13	6	4	3	+10	22
8	Paderborn	13	6	4	3	+4	22
9	Sandhausen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
10	Greuther Furth	13	6	3	4	+6	21
11	St Pauli	14	6	3	5	-1	21
12	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	-3	21
13	Regensburg	14	5	5	4	+2	20
14	Darmstadt	14	5	2	7	+0	17
15	Nurnberg	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	+0	16
17	Wurzburger Kickers	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Osnabruck	12	2	1	9	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	14	8	5	1	+13	29
2	Karlsruhe	13	8	2	3	+6	26
3	Bochum	13	8	1	4	+6	25
4	Holstein Kiel	14	6	5	3	+9	23
5	Hamburg	14	6	5	3	+5	23
6	Osnabruck	14	5	4	5	-6	19
7	Darmstadt	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	St Pauli	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	4	4	6	-4	16
10	Nurnberg	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Hannover	13	4	2	7	-3	14
12	Paderborn	14	3	4	7	-3	13
13	Erzgebirge Aue	14	3	3	8	-9	12
14	Heidenheim	13	3	3	7	-11	12
15	Regensburg	12	2	5	5	-7	11
16	Wurzburger Kickers	14	2	0	12	-18	6
17	Braunschweig	13	0	5	8	-20	5
18	Sandhausen	13	1	0	12	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.