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Super League
Referee: F San
Luzern
S S T U T
3–4
Full-time
Basel
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Super League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 34%
30%
37%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
74%
63%
Both score Ø 74%
81%
67%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 8. · Basel 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 26 16 9 1 +28 57
2 Lugano 28 9 13 6 +4 40
3 Servette 27 10 8 9 -2 38
4 Lausanne 27 10 7 10 +3 37
5 Basel 27 10 6 11 +0 36
6 Zurich 27 9 7 11 -2 34
7 St. Gallen 27 8 9 10 -2 33
8 Luzern 27 8 8 11 +1 32
9 Vaduz 27 7 8 12 -17 29
10 Sion 27 5 11 11 -13 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Mar -21 Basel – Luzern 4–1 23. Dec -20 Luzern – Basel 1–2 4. Oct -20 Basel – Luzern 3–2 3. Aug -20 Basel – Luzern 0–0 21. Jun -20 Luzern – Basel 2–1

Match report

Luzern Basel
1–0 L. Schaub ⚽
I. Ndiaye
3′
14′
⚽ D. Males 1–1
V. Stocker
18′
⚽ E. Zhegrova 1–2
Lorik Emini 🟨
22′
22′
⚽ E. Zhegrova 1–3
Arthur Cabral
Half-time 1–3
V. Tasar 🔁
↦ Lucas
46′
Pascal Schürpf ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
50′
61′
🟨 Arthur Cabral
2–3 I. Ndiaye ⚽
V. Tasar
64′
67′
🔁 A. Kalulu
↦ E. Zhegrova
67′
🔁 P. Kasami
↦ D. Males
68′
🟨 Luca Zuffi
S. Borquaye 🔁
↦ L. Emini
70′
Y. Alounga 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
77′
C. Schwegler 🔁
↦ S. Sidler
77′
77′
🔁 M. Sene
↦ A. Abrashi
Samuel Alabi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
82′
3–3 L. Schaub ⚽
83′
84′
🟨 Silvan Widmer
84′
🟨 Fabian Frei
Samuel Alabi 🟨
90′
Álex Carbonell 🔁
↦ F. Ugrinic
90′
93′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 3–4
R. Petretta
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Luzern

3-4-3
32 M. Müller G
5 Lucas D
13 M. Frýdek M
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler M
46 M. Burch D
11 P. Schürpf F
10 L. Schaub F
19 F. Ugrinic M
7 I. Ndiaye F
31 L. Emini M
Bench (7)
16 V. Tasar
23 S. Borquaye
22 Y. Alounga
27 C. Schwegler
14 Álex Carbonell
1 D. Zibung
17 S. Grether

Coach: F. Celestini

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 H. Lindner G
17 T. Klose D
5 S. Widmer D
28 R. Petretta D
14 V. Stocker M
7 L. Zuffi M
20 F. Frei D
6 A. Abrashi M
30 E. Zhegrova M
19 D. Males M
98 Arthur Cabral F
Bench (7)
26 A. Kalulu
23 P. Kasami
77 M. Sene
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
3 Gonçalo Cardoso
21 J. van der Werff
1 Đ. Nikolić

Coach: P. Rahmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.