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Bundesliga

Referee: T Stieler

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Union Berlin

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 54%

74%

33%

Points per game

2,4

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

81%

48%

Both score Ø 71%

74%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

2,9

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Union Berlin 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	27	20	4	3	+44	64
2	RB Leipzig	27	17	6	4	+26	57
3	Wolfsburg	27	15	9	3	+24	54
4	Ein Frankfurt	27	13	11	3	+18	50
5	Dortmund	27	13	4	10	+16	43
6	Leverkusen	27	12	7	8	+13	43
7	Union Berlin	27	9	12	6	+8	39
8	Stuttgart	27	10	9	8	+7	39
9	M'gladbach	27	10	9	8	+5	39
10	Freiburg	28	10	7	11	-2	37
11	Augsburg	27	9	5	13	-12	32
12	Hoffenheim	27	8	6	13	-6	30
13	Werder Bremen	27	7	9	11	-8	30
14	Bielefeld	28	7	5	16	-24	26
15	Hertha	27	6	7	14	-14	25
16	Mainz	27	6	7	14	-19	25
17	FC Koln	27	5	8	14	-22	23
18	Schalke 04	27	1	7	19	-54	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	3	0	+32	33
2	RB Leipzig	14	10	2	2	+14	32
3	Wolfsburg	13	9	4	0	+17	31
4	Ein Frankfurt	13	7	6	0	+12	27
5	Dortmund	13	7	2	4	+12	23
6	Union Berlin	14	5	8	1	+10	23
7	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+7	22
8	Freiburg	14	6	4	4	+6	22
9	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+5	22
10	Stuttgart	13	4	6	3	+5	18
11	Augsburg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
12	Hoffenheim	13	5	2	6	+4	17
13	Bielefeld	15	5	1	9	-11	16
14	Hertha	13	4	2	7	-8	14
15	Werder Bremen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
16	Mainz	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	FC Koln	13	1	5	7	-9	8
18	Schalke 04	14	1	3	10	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+12	25
3	Wolfsburg	14	6	5	3	+7	23
4	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	5	3	+6	23
5	Leverkusen	13	6	3	4	+6	21
6	Stuttgart	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Dortmund	14	6	2	6	+4	20
8	M'gladbach	13	4	5	4	+0	17
9	Werder Bremen	14	4	5	5	-2	17
10	Union Berlin	13	4	4	5	-2	16
11	Freiburg	14	4	3	7	-8	15
12	FC Koln	14	4	3	7	-13	15
13	Augsburg	13	4	2	7	-7	14
14	Hoffenheim	14	3	4	7	-10	13
15	Mainz	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Hertha	14	2	5	7	-6	11
17	Bielefeld	13	2	4	7	-13	10
18	Schalke 04	13	0	4	9	-33	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.