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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

Motherwell

T U S S T

1–0

Full-time

St Mirren

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

30%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

48%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

42%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

11 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 9. · St Mirren 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	33	28	5	0	+68	89
2	Celtic	33	20	9	4	+42	69
3	Hibernian	33	16	8	9	+13	56
4	Aberdeen	33	13	10	10	+1	49
5	Livingston	33	12	8	13	-1	44
6	ST Johnstone	33	10	10	13	-6	40
7	St Mirren	33	10	10	13	-8	40
8	Dundee United	33	9	12	12	-14	39
9	Motherwell	33	9	8	16	-19	35
10	Ross County	33	8	5	20	-33	29
11	Kilmarnock	33	8	4	21	-14	28
12	Hamilton	33	6	9	18	-29	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	16	16	0	0	+45	48
2	Celtic	17	11	4	2	+20	37
3	Aberdeen	17	9	4	4	+6	31
4	Hibernian	16	6	5	5	+0	23
5	Dundee United	17	6	5	6	-1	23
6	Livingston	17	6	4	7	-1	22
7	ST Johnstone	16	5	4	7	-5	19
8	St Mirren	17	4	7	6	-7	19
9	Kilmarnock	16	5	3	8	+0	18
10	Ross County	17	4	4	9	-15	16
11	Motherwell	16	4	3	9	-13	15
12	Hamilton	16	2	6	8	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	17	12	5	0	+23	41
2	Hibernian	17	10	3	4	+13	33
3	Celtic	16	9	5	2	+22	32
4	Livingston	16	6	4	6	+0	22
5	ST Johnstone	17	5	6	6	-1	21
6	St Mirren	16	6	3	7	-1	21
7	Motherwell	17	5	5	7	-6	20
8	Aberdeen	16	4	6	6	-5	18
9	Dundee United	16	3	7	6	-13	16
10	Hamilton	17	4	3	10	-17	15
11	Ross County	16	4	1	11	-18	13
12	Kilmarnock	17	3	1	13	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.