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Bundesliga

Referee: R Schröder

Stuttgart

S U S T S

2–3

Full-time

Dortmund

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 43%

37%

48%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

56%

74%

Both score Ø 65%

67%

63%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

13 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 9. · Dortmund 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	20	5	3	+44	65
2	RB Leipzig	28	18	6	4	+29	60
3	Wolfsburg	28	15	9	4	+23	54
4	Ein Frankfurt	28	14	11	3	+19	53
5	Dortmund	27	13	4	10	+16	43
6	Leverkusen	27	12	7	8	+13	43
7	Union Berlin	28	9	13	6	+8	40
8	M'gladbach	28	10	10	8	+5	40
9	Stuttgart	27	10	9	8	+7	39
10	Freiburg	28	10	7	11	-2	37
11	Augsburg	27	9	5	13	-12	32
12	Hoffenheim	27	8	6	13	-6	30
13	Werder Bremen	28	7	9	12	-11	30
14	Hertha	28	6	8	14	-14	26
15	Bielefeld	28	7	5	16	-24	26
16	Mainz	27	6	7	14	-19	25
17	FC Koln	27	5	8	14	-22	23
18	Schalke 04	27	1	7	19	-54	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	4	0	+32	34
2	RB Leipzig	14	10	2	2	+14	32
3	Wolfsburg	13	9	4	0	+17	31
4	Ein Frankfurt	14	8	6	0	+13	30
5	Dortmund	13	7	2	4	+12	23
6	Union Berlin	14	5	8	1	+10	23
7	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+7	22
8	Freiburg	14	6	4	4	+6	22
9	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+5	22
10	Stuttgart	13	4	6	3	+5	18
11	Augsburg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
12	Hoffenheim	13	5	2	6	+4	17
13	Bielefeld	15	5	1	9	-11	16
14	Hertha	14	4	3	7	-8	15
15	Werder Bremen	14	3	4	7	-9	13
16	Mainz	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	FC Koln	13	1	5	7	-9	8
18	Schalke 04	14	1	3	10	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+15	28
3	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	5	3	+6	23
4	Wolfsburg	15	6	5	4	+6	23
5	Leverkusen	13	6	3	4	+6	21
6	Stuttgart	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Dortmund	14	6	2	6	+4	20
8	M'gladbach	14	4	6	4	+0	18
9	Werder Bremen	14	4	5	5	-2	17
10	Union Berlin	14	4	5	5	-2	17
11	Freiburg	14	4	3	7	-8	15
12	FC Koln	14	4	3	7	-13	15
13	Augsburg	13	4	2	7	-7	14
14	Hoffenheim	14	3	4	7	-10	13
15	Mainz	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Hertha	14	2	5	7	-6	11
17	Bielefeld	13	2	4	7	-13	10
18	Schalke 04	13	0	4	9	-33	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.