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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Hamilton
T U U T U
0–1
Full-time
Dundee United
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 47%
48%
45%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
27 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 12. · Dundee United 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 33 28 5 0 +68 89
2 Celtic 33 20 9 4 +42 69
3 Hibernian 33 16 8 9 +13 56
4 Aberdeen 33 13 10 10 +1 49
5 Livingston 33 12 8 13 -1 44
6 ST Johnstone 33 10 10 13 -6 40
7 St Mirren 33 10 10 13 -8 40
8 Dundee United 33 9 12 12 -14 39
9 Motherwell 33 9 8 16 -19 35
10 Ross County 33 8 5 20 -33 29
11 Kilmarnock 33 8 4 21 -14 28
12 Hamilton 33 6 9 18 -29 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamilton Dundee United
6′
M. McNulty 0–1
J. Fuchs
Half-time 0–1
57′
🔁 N. Clark
↦ A. Spörle
57′
🔁 P. Pawlett
↦ I. Harkes
70′
🟨 Jamie Robson
71′
🔁 F. Hoti
↦ J. Fuchs
Aaron Martin 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Marc McNulty
C. Smith 🔁
↦ B. Easton
79′
84′
🔁 L. Appéré
↦ L. Shankland
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hamilton

3-5-1-1
22 K. Gourlay G
5 B. Easton D
16 A. Martin D
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann M
2 H. Odoffin M
21 K. Munro F
6 J. Hamilton D
34 R. Callachan M
15 R. Hughes M
7 B. Anderson F
Bench (6)
32 C. Smith
41 R. Scully
4 B. Stirling
17 G. Stanger
26 M. Redfern
20 D. Moyo

Coach: B. Rice

Dundee United

4-3-1-2
1 B. Siegrist G
6 M. Reynolds D
12 R. Edwards D
2 L. Smith D
3 A. Spörle M
17 J. Robson D
18 C. Butcher M
66 J. Fuchs M
23 I. Harkes M
9 M. McNulty F
24 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
10 N. Clark
8 P. Pawlett
14 F. Hoti
27 L. Appéré
43 K. Smith
15 L. Chalmers
5 M. Connolly
19 D. Mehmet
20 L. Bolton

Coach: M. Mellon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,28
U
3,23
B ✓
2,22
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.