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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Kilmarnock
T T U T S
2–2
Full-time
Ross County
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
39%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Ross County 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 33 28 5 0 +68 89
2 Celtic 33 20 9 4 +42 69
3 Hibernian 33 16 8 9 +13 56
4 Aberdeen 33 13 10 10 +1 49
5 Livingston 33 12 8 13 -1 44
6 ST Johnstone 33 10 10 13 -6 40
7 St Mirren 33 10 10 13 -8 40
8 Dundee United 33 9 12 12 -14 39
9 Motherwell 33 9 8 16 -19 35
10 Ross County 33 8 5 20 -33 29
11 Kilmarnock 33 8 4 21 -14 28
12 Hamilton 33 6 9 18 -29 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Ross County
1–0 C. Burke
3′
5′
M. Gardyne 1–1
B. McKay
15′
🟨 Jordan Tillson
2–1 M. Pinnock
16′
Rory McKenzie 🟨
30′
30′
🟨 Jason Naismith
Half-time 2–2
54′
A. Iacovitti 2–2
I. Vigurs
61′
🟨 Iain Vigurs
69′
🔁 H. Paton
↦ J. Tillson
Kyle Lafferty 🟨
70′
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
71′
75′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ I. Vigurs
80′
🔁 R. Charles-Cook
↦ M. Gardyne
80′
🔁 J. Hylton
↦ B. McKay
Alan Power 🟨
85′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-1-1
16 C. Doyle G
5 K. Broadfoot D
2 A. McGowan D
3 B. Haunstrup D
24 Z. Medley D
29 C. Burke M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie F
19 M. Pinnock M
28 K. Lafferty F
Bench (9)
10 G. Kiltie
12 D. Whitehall
18 C. Waters
9 G. Oakley
23 D. Rogers
14 Z. Rossi
26 D. Dabo
4 C. Dikamona
21 Y. Mulumbu

Coach: T. Wright

Ross County

4-4-1-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
15 K. Watson D
3 C. Tremarco D
23 J. Naismith D
16 A. Iacovitti D
11 I. Vigurs M
7 M. Gardyne M
6 R. Draper M
22 J. Tillson M
9 B. McKay F
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
24 H. Paton
18 S. Kelly
17 R. Charles-Cook
14 J. Hylton
8 O. Shaw
25 C. Donaldson
21 J. Hilton
19 C. Lakin
44 M. Wright

Coach: J. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,32
B
3,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.