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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Lugano
S T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Lausanne
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Super League · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 34%
30%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
37%
58%
Both score Ø 51%
56%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
4 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Lausanne 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 26 16 9 1 +28 57
2 Servette 27 10 8 9 -2 38
3 Lausanne 26 10 7 9 +4 37
4 Lugano 27 8 13 6 +3 37
5 Basel 27 10 6 11 +0 36
6 Zurich 27 9 7 11 -2 34
7 St. Gallen 27 8 9 10 -2 33
8 Luzern 27 8 8 11 +1 32
9 Vaduz 27 7 8 12 -17 29
10 Sion 27 5 11 11 -13 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Lausanne
1–0 M. Marić
R. Ziegler
18′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Hicham Mahou
M. Čovilo 🔁
↦ J. Ardaiz
59′
Miroslav Čovilo 🟨
63′
69′
🔁 J. Bolingi
↦ L. Da Cunha
Ákos Kecskés 🟨
72′
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
75′
75′
🔁 B. Ouattara
↦ H. Mahou
Numa Lavanchy 🟨
77′
F. Daprelà 🔁
↦ M. Facchinetti
83′
A. Gerndt 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
83′
L. Opara 🔁
↦ N. Lavanchy
83′
85′
🔁 M. Nanizayamo
↦ T. Suzuki
85′
🔁 G. Barès
↦ Cameron Puertas
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-1-2
58 S. Osigwe G
33 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
91 M. Facchinetti M
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 Á. Kecskés D
14 J. Sabbatini M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
23 J. Ardaiz F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (7)
6 M. Čovilo
8 C. Lungoyi
30 F. Daprelà
19 A. Gerndt
13 L. Opara
77 R. Macek
46 N. Baumann

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Lausanne

3-4-1-2
40 M. Diaw G
13 P. Flo D
25 N. Boranijašević M
5 N. Loosli D
20 H. Mahou F
4 M. Jenz D
28 T. Suzuki M
7 S. Kukuruzović M
21 Cameron Puertas M
10 L. Da Cunha F
9 E. Guessand F
Bench (7)
12 J. Bolingi
11 B. Ouattara
37 M. Nanizayamo
66 G. Barès
22 M. Tsoungui
1 T. Castella
38 Pedro Brazão

Coach: G. Contini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.