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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

AZ Alkmaar

T S S S S

3–0

Full-time

VVV Venlo

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 45%

52%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 53%

48%

57%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

19 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · VVV Venlo 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	21	18	2	1	+58	56
2	Ajax	21	16	2	3	+53	50
3	Feyenoord	21	13	3	5	+20	42
4	AZ Alkmaar	21	11	4	6	+17	37
5	Heracles	20	9	2	9	-6	29
6	VVV Venlo	21	8	5	8	-7	29
7	Den Haag	22	7	6	9	-11	27
8	Utrecht	19	7	5	7	+1	26
9	For Sittard	21	7	5	9	-6	26
10	Willem II	21	7	4	10	-7	25
11	Zwolle	22	7	4	11	-9	25
12	Vitesse	18	6	6	6	+1	24
13	FC Emmen	21	6	6	9	-20	24
14	Heerenveen	21	5	8	8	-5	23
15	Excelsior	21	6	4	11	-23	22
16	Groningen	19	6	3	10	-3	21
17	De Graafschap	21	5	3	13	-28	18
18	NAC Breda	21	4	4	13	-25	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+40	33
2	Feyenoord	11	10	0	1	+21	30
3	Ajax	10	8	2	0	+36	26
4	Heracles	10	7	0	3	+7	21
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	3	2	+12	18
6	VVV Venlo	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	For Sittard	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Utrecht	10	5	2	3	+8	17
9	De Graafschap	11	5	1	5	+1	16
10	Vitesse	8	4	3	1	+3	15
11	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	-5	15
12	Excelsior	11	4	3	4	-7	15
13	NAC Breda	11	4	2	5	-4	14
14	Zwolle	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Groningen	9	3	1	5	+2	10
16	FC Emmen	11	2	4	5	-7	10
17	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Heerenveen	10	1	4	5	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	0	3	+17	24
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	2	1	+18	23
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	1	4	+5	19
4	Willem II	11	5	2	4	-2	17
5	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+4	16
6	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-5	14
7	FC Emmen	10	4	2	4	-13	14
8	Feyenoord	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Den Haag	11	3	3	5	-6	12
10	Groningen	10	3	2	5	-5	11
11	VVV Venlo	11	3	2	6	-14	11
12	Vitesse	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Utrecht	9	2	3	4	-7	9
14	For Sittard	10	2	2	6	-12	8
15	Heracles	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	Excelsior	10	2	1	7	-16	7
17	NAC Breda	10	0	2	8	-21	2
18	De Graafschap	10	0	2	8	-29	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.